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Mudavadi mulls quitting ODM -
madollar
#71 Posted : Tuesday, April 17, 2012 4:02:10 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
now that he has confirmed he will be on the ballot he needs to steady the ship .

do not antagonize anybody or community by picking a kyuk running mate kalez may react and vice versa .also picking peter kenneth may deter a potential endorsement by uhuru

he should pick balala who may be having sleepless nights with the thought of him becoming the country vice president.

http://www.capitalfm.co....s-he-must-be-on-ballot/

Mo
#72 Posted : Tuesday, April 17, 2012 5:17:05 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/21/2007
Posts: 326
this is how the game get's to a checkmate; mudavadi picks (whoever except peter ken so as not to anatagonize the prince) rao goes for (let's say peter ken) and martha as always sticks her guns. using that scenario, the gema who always go for their own get confused! and split into 3 splinter groups
1. the muthamaki camp for moo davadi
2. the martha camp
3. the rao camp in symphathy of peter ken
Those will be the 3 front runners...remind me of this thread in dec 2012.
Speak your truth quietly and clearly; and listen to others, even the dull and the ignorant; they too have their story.
Rahatupu
#73 Posted : Tuesday, April 17, 2012 5:27:24 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
Mo wrote:
this is how the game get's to a checkmate; mudavadi picks (whoever except peter ken so as not to anatagonize the prince) rao goes for (let's say peter ken) and martha as always sticks her guns. using that scenario, the gema who always go for their own get confused! and split into 3 splinter groups
1. the muthamaki camp for moo davadi
2. the martha camp
3. the rao camp in symphathy of peter ken
Those will be the 3 front runners...remind me of this thread in dec 2012.



What is the implication of the fresh start of the Goldenberg cases on MM? The scenario is changing so fast, free advise to MM: avoid Kaluki at all costs, Balaa does not have a solid constituency. Bargain for the running mate status out of RAO, this could be the best bet by now, make an MoU with RAO on 1 term only. This can be extracted at the moment.
TiggerTiggy
#74 Posted : Tuesday, April 17, 2012 7:11:21 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 10/13/2011
Posts: 660
if all the big tribes have a candidate, with the luhya being the second most populous, it means MM has a fair chance of making the run-off. if that run-off is against a candidate from the mountain then you can bet all the other tribes will line up behind MM. if its RAO vrs MM in run-off then you can bet he will easily triumph as all the anti-tinga forces will line up behind the man from sabatia
Lolest!
#75 Posted : Tuesday, April 17, 2012 7:40:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
Mo wrote:
this is how the game get's to a checkmate; mudavadi picks (whoever except peter ken so as not to anatagonize the prince) rao goes for (let's say peter ken) and martha as always sticks her guns. using that scenario, the gema who always go for their own get confused! and split into 3 splinter groups
1. the muthamaki camp for moo davadi
2. the martha camp
3. the rao camp in symphathy of peter ken
Those will be the 3 front runners...remind me of this thread in dec 2012.

That part of GEMA has been Odingalised by Uhuru. They now follow him wherever he goes.

The anti-Raila sentiment there is just too high in that constituency. If PK ever makes it, it will be without this constituency.
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
tycho
#76 Posted : Tuesday, April 17, 2012 8:02:56 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/1/2011
Posts: 8,804
Location: Nairobi
If my memory's right, then back in 2009 there was a story on 'the star' about Mudavadi not being Raila's running mate.

And the way I understood it, Musalia wasn't nettled abit. In fact, he seemed to welcome the idea.

So what is this debate about? Late comers?

Why can't you see that the more we talk about these things, the more we stay enslaved?

Impunity
#77 Posted : Wednesday, April 18, 2012 8:34:18 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,334
Location: Masada
This Musalia is taking eons to "mull", can he finish mulling.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

TAZ
#78 Posted : Wednesday, April 18, 2012 9:43:42 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
We all seem to forget the fact that MM has been RAO's right hand man for the last 5 years or more.....tinga will have limited ammunition to use against him during campaigns.

@ Mo....Karua/PK ni kama RT in Nyanza. They'll probably even have a hard time getting votes in their own backyards especially if they team up with RAO.
madollar
#79 Posted : Wednesday, April 18, 2012 11:17:58 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
he has a very interesting post on his facebook wall today great strategy targeting the youth.

but he could be off the blocks too early as elections will be held next year

http://www.facebook.com/...ond-2012/123182861072147
kollabo
#80 Posted : Wednesday, April 18, 2012 12:19:23 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/3/2012
Posts: 1,317
Let me attempt a quick SWOT of this guy;

Strengths - Affable personality has not offended many, Luyia community 2nd largest voting block, Still young appeals to youth, Has family links to RVP hence easy to sell (some say thro retired prez), Has inside knowledge of RAO's workings,

Weaknesses - Not a very good orator, poor debater, performance wanting in local govts (get rid of Kisia), no experience in presidential campaign, lacks financial clout, Busia/Teso/BTR-MMS still tight with RAO, negative public image of a "blunderer" after '02, also reportedly over indulges the brown bottle

Opportunities - Best compromise candidate since (UK & WSR are out legally speaking), can be sold in both RVP and Mt K region, Would be a strong contender at runoff

Threats - Historical disunity among luyias,
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