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Equity Bank: What goes up must come down.
Hi-Lo
#11 Posted : Wednesday, June 25, 2008 3:25:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/5/2007
Posts: 91
Lets try &lsquo;what goes around &hellip; must come around&rsquo;. Height sounds scary &ndash; though am at a loss how a galatica lands&hellip; I&rsquo;v seen it take off.


In a situation like this,what would one do?
Irene E
#12 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 10:27:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 1
@ Kamau

Now that Equity bank HAS come down (last I checked it traded at Ksh.218),what would you say is a good entry level?

With God,all things are possible.
ecstacy
#13 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 10:56:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
Based on half-year results and expected second-half year results,what is the projected 2008 end-year value for the Equity Bank share?
Illuminati
#14 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 12:11:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 1
hi guyz

why is this counter droping? jus like that? will it ever rise agai like it had? or should those who have the stock sell now even if at a loss?


'Make a decision,mint the money,for now is the time'
mugi
#15 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 1:55:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/24/2006
Posts: 4
Is the Equity IPO feared so much that it is shedding shillings daily?. Or is it Non-performing loans?. Supply on this counter has been greater than Demand,sometimes as high as 6x,since mid-last week.

I have noted that Foreign sales are accounting for a huge chunk of the total. Yesterday,they accounted for over 80%.

I see this share hitting 200shs and going by today's drop,it may hit that number by early next week.
marktplaatz
#16 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 2:50:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/23/2008
Posts: 12
Equity is just being called out for 'cooking' its books to hoodwink the public. You can't cook them forever. The 'foreigners' who 'invested' have realized that the business is a paper tiger,they are perking their profits elsewhere. I don't see so much love for Equity on SK nowadays,why?
ecstacy
#17 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 3:10:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
Let us not be a careless lot. Your allowed to revel in the current price dip but surely what evidence do you have to support your claim that Equity is 'cooking' its books? If you have to make claims,support them with facts. I see none to support this claim. Next.
tonicasert
#18 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 3:29:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
I think Equity share qualifies as a highly speculative share,especially at levels above 250,unlike investment/growth quality shares like KCB. Savvy investors know when to get in,to hold and when to run. Am seeing it settle at 160-180 level. Too many guys are burning and thereby cutting losses.

Personally cant touch that share...
kenyanboy
#19 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 5:12:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/6/2007
Posts: 17
Great analysis Kamau. Your analysis was spot on. Equity was indeed on the 3rd wave of the Elliot Wave back in June.

Now the real 'fakes' are revealed: frowo,njung'e and mlefu. Pass over some of that egg on your faces,I'll make you omelettes.
kenyanboy
#20 Posted : Wednesday, September 10, 2008 5:36:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/6/2007
Posts: 17
Ralph Nelson Elliott developed the Elliott Wave Theory in the late 1920s by discovering that stock markets,thought to behave in a somewhat chaotic manner,in fact,did not. They traded in repetitive cycles,which he discovered were the emotions of investors as a cause of outside influences,or predominant psychology of the masses at the time. Elliott stated that the upward and downward swings of the mass psychology always showed up in the same repetitive patterns,which were then divided into patterns he termed 'waves'

In the financial markets we know that 'every action creates an equal and opposite reaction' as a price movement up or down must be followed by a contrary movement. Price action is divided into trends and corrections or sideways movements. Trends show the main direction of prices while corrections move against the trend. Elliott labeled these 'impulsive waves' and 'corrective waves'.

The interpretation of the Elliott Wave Theory is as follows:
Every action is followed by a reaction.
There are five waves in the direction of the main trend followed by three corrective waves (a '5-3' move).
A 5-3 move completes a cycle.
This 5-3 move then becomes two subdivisions of the next higher 5-3 wave.
The underlying 5-3 pattern remains constant,though the time span of each may vary.



We are now in the 1st corrective wave. Expect a slight rise as supply evens out and bargain hunters pick up bids,followed by the 2nd corrective wave.
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