GenghisCapitalLtd wrote:Does anyone else believe that member waits for its biggest rival in KCB to announce first? I think they do cz talking to some of my media friends, member have given them a run around on the exact date! Mwanahisa I have estimates of PBT 15.2Bn and PAT 12Bn or there about. Will wait and c au sio?!
Over the last 2 or so years, its certainly looked like that. In the days when EBL were sure they were top or had extraordinary growth in their profits they were very quick off the blocks.
As for a PBT of 15.2 B, this will be a very big ask for EBL. It implies that Equity will have made 5.8B in Q4 after doing 9.4 for the year to Sep-2011. It is of course possible but will be a tough act.
Note that KCB made just about 6B in Q4 but you will have seen the huge spike in KCB's other income in Q4 - upwards of 2B. I am guessing that most of this were writebacks against provisions or Bad Debts previously written off. KCB of course has a far greater stock of Bad Debts/Provisions than Equity. So EBL may not have that kind of ammunition. All the same, let's wait and see what James pulls out of his hat. BTW, I am in both so I earnestly hope he can, but ....