People seem not to understand the fall out between Ruto and Raila was more of Ruto's making than Raila's fault. First I am 100% Kalenjin so nobody should point a tribal finger on my analysis.
First, it started with initial debate of what to do with post election violence perpetrators and Raila being the PM he took a stand that perpetrators should face justice, then no one knew Ruto was going to be on the list. Raila was the PM did anyone expect him to say that perpetrators will not face justice? even Kibaki said justice will be served for the post election violence and he didn't know his people were to be on the list. That is what I expected Raila and Kibaki to say because the are the Kenya top leaders.
The complete fall out came after the Mau eviction because Ruto was handed a platform to rally Kalenjins, but if you look at the Mau eviction we know it was cabinet decision and we know it was the right thing to do. I fault Raila for not being smart enough to see a political set up and going ahead with eviction even when Kibaki got a cold feet, infact I think all along the Mau concerns was more political in PNU side than conservation, Raila and ODM miss read the intentions and went ahead with the conservation! Anyone remember Kibaki was suppose to show up for a tree planting exercise in Mau but never did? so the whole thing seem to have been a political set-up and PNU won the politics of Mau and Raila and Kenyans lost the opportunity to do the right thing.
Back to ICC issue, we all remember let us not be vague lets go to hague, this came about because Ruto and his boys thought that Raila was going to be in the list based on the known fact that he called for mass action, what they failed to realise that Mass action alone do not constitute a crime. As a matter of facts Kibaki and Raila wanted the case to be heard in Kenya because they probably thought they could be on the list. ODM wrote the later to ICC after Kalonzo went around seeking defferal and most Kenya view Kalonzo request a way to protect the 6 more than justice.
Lastly, PNU having very smart strategists have all along had a hand on Raila and Ruto relationship, they're playing both in a chess board, unfortunately both Raila and Ruto are too self= absorbed to see it and business-wise I respect and admire the PNU strategists, I would hire them anytime if I was looking to build a winning strategy. Uhuru have what Ruto want and ruto have what uhuru want, Ruto want money and Uhuru want to beat Raila.