@kizee - shorting KES with CBR at double digits will be tough biz. But the moment CBK is pressed to lower it (they have to print money esp political influence) with inflation still at double digits, shorting KES resumes pronto due to the rates mismatch... For now it is still murky trying to figure out which way to play. I'm waiting for the so called $600M loan boost to see the market effect. Internationally, the global oil price spike and a likely Greece default are creating a lot of fog to forecast a medium term outlook - this two events happening together will just crash the markets.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!