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> 10 % Dividend Yield........my new yard stick in NSE stock picking
guru267
#21 Posted : Thursday, February 09, 2012 7:54:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
stocksmaster wrote:
If the end of year returns an EPS of Ksh 130 - 140 as i estimate it should, then a second dividend of Ksh 20 could be in the horizon.

Happy Hunting


The 50 bob is a one off dividend.. The first & last time we will see one for the next couple of years...

I do concur with a normal FY dividend of 20bob and an EPS of 140 for march 2012..

Though In this euphoria be careful about the risks for the company like kshs strength, stagnating growth in operations, tea prices etc

These risks can damage EPS, dividends, NAV & the share price as has beenbseen in the recent past..

Anyone constructing a long term portfolio would be wise to avoid this company & sector..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
holycow
#22 Posted : Thursday, February 09, 2012 9:21:59 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
sparkly wrote:
@Stocksmaster lend me your crystal ball for one month...

Laughing out loudly smile DittoLaughing out loudly
the deal
#23 Posted : Thursday, February 09, 2012 9:34:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
KCB is Sell.
Cde Monomotapa
#24 Posted : Thursday, February 09, 2012 10:54:08 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
the deal wrote:
KCB is Sell.

@90 Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
guru267
#25 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2012 6:30:01 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
KCB is Sell.


Get ready to swallow your words thursday 16th feb 2012 after results...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
QW25091985
#26 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2012 6:57:43 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 1/24/2012
Posts: 1,675
Location: In Da Hood
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
the deal wrote:
KCB is Sell.

@90 Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Wondergirl
#27 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2012 8:44:21 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/12/2009
Posts: 312
guru267 wrote:
stocksmaster wrote:
If the end of year returns an EPS of Ksh 130 - 140 as i estimate it should, then a second dividend of Ksh 20 could be in the horizon.

Happy Hunting


The 50 bob is a one off dividend.. The first & last time we will see one for the next couple of years...

I do concur with a normal FY dividend of 20bob and an EPS of 140 for march 2012..

Though In this euphoria be careful about the risks for the company like kshs strength, stagnating growth in operations, tea prices etc

These risks can damage EPS, dividends, NAV & the share price as has beenbseen in the recent past..

Anyone constructing a long term portfolio would be wise to avoid this company & sector..

Madam Guru267,
So would you categorize the share as a buy/ avoid at the current prices?

Wondergirl
#28 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2012 8:52:52 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/12/2009
Posts: 312
stocksmaster wrote:
With the index first approaching the 3000 mark, my stock picking focus is now on dividend yield.

For my long term portfolio, i am focusing on stocks that assure me at least a 10% Dividend Yield at prevailing prices. My focus therefore is now on the following stocks:

1. Kenol Kobil - At Ksh 9.30, and with management having assured investors of at least USD 35M net profit (EPS of 2.15 at 45% dividend payment policy) with a dividend of about Ksh 1, this represents 10.75%. Am hoping for a price dip below Ksh 9.00 to undertake massive purchases although am already buying at prevailing prices.

2. KCB - At a projected dividend of Ksh 1.50 for 2011, the price of Ksh 15 represents a 10% dividend yield. Am buying at price dips below Ksh 15.

3. Williamson Tea - Having paid Ksh 15 dividend last year on an EPS of Ksh 97, the company made 91% of this money in 1st Half 2011 alone. Am projecting an EPS of Ksh 135 - 140 for the full year. The company is awash with cash and can comfortably give Ksh 25 - 30 as dividends for 2011. I'll be buying at any price below Ksh 250.

As prices continue to dip, my 10% principle brings more companies into focus.

Happy Hunting.


Stockmaster,
Please comment on DTB.I know it doesn't exatly fall in this new list of your preferred shares but I know last year you had bought a sizeable amount.

guru267
#29 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2012 9:16:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Wondergirl wrote:

Madam Guru267,
So would you categorize the share as a buy/ avoid at the current prices?


@WG at current prices this stock has some legs to go higher so it may be good for speculators..

The question for a long term investor is what next after books closure and what about the future¿¡
1. As far as I know the company has no real expansion plan, so that means stagnating revenue going forward.
2. The company relies on a weak shilling and high tea prices to grow its revenue which is not a sustainable model.

so for speculators the stock may be able to grow closer to 500-600bob but I do not see anything further than that for many years after that..

As a long term investor I look for stocks that can grow to 10 times their current value within 10years and I do not believe WTK is one of those stocks by any means..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
FUNKY
#30 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2012 9:20:41 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
@ Guru - they still have an option of a split in the future which can even take the price to around 1000/-.
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