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Presidential Opinion Polls Tracking - now to 2012

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innairobi		#61 Posted : Tuesday, February 07, 2012 11:49:11 AM
Rank: Member Joined: 9/2/2010 Posts: 845		For the record... Organization - Ipsos-Synovate Date of release - 06 Feb 2012 Links - http://www.synovate.co.k...ed_with_ICC_ruling.docx Summary of results - Raila - 31% Uhuru - 24% Kalonzo - 10% Ruto - 6% Karua - 4% Peter Kenneth - 2% Eugene - 2% Saitoti - 1% Musalia - 1% Undecided - 15% Total - 96% All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.
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harrydre		#62 Posted : Tuesday, February 07, 2012 9:46:13 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 7/10/2008 Posts: 9,131 Location: Kanjo		innairobi wrote: For the record... Organization - Ipsos-Synovate Date of release - 06 Feb 2012 Links - http://www.synovate.co.k...ed_with_ICC_ruling.docx Summary of results - Raila - 31% Uhuru - 24% Kalonzo - 10% Ruto - 6% Karua - 4% Peter Kenneth - 2% Eugene - 2% Saitoti - 1% Musalia - 1% Undecided - 15% Total - 96% and where did a 4% go? i.am.back!!!!
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Kihangeri		#63 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2012 9:51:37 AM
Rank: User Joined: 11/10/2010 Posts: 550 Location: Junction		harrydre wrote: innairobi wrote: For the record... Organization - Ipsos-Synovate Date of release - 06 Feb 2012 Links - http://www.synovate.co.k...ed_with_ICC_ruling.docx Summary of results - Raila - 31% Uhuru - 24% Kalonzo - 10% Ruto - 6% Karua - 4% Peter Kenneth - 2% Eugene - 2% Saitoti - 1% Musalia - 1% Undecided - 15% Total - 96% and where did a 4% go? I suspect the 4% is for Kibaki but since he is not in the race, there was no point putting it up for public consumption. By inference, the man is all that Mr Phantom is not: an untrustworthy radical, divisive, too many enemies, a dictator, and a persistent liar... Gaitho dialogues.
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Impunity		#64 Posted : Wednesday, February 08, 2012 3:11:41 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2009 Posts: 26,335 Location: Masada		Kihangeri wrote: harrydre wrote: innairobi wrote: For the record... Organization - Ipsos-Synovate Date of release - 06 Feb 2012 Links - http://www.synovate.co.k...ed_with_ICC_ruling.docx Summary of results - Raila - 31% Uhuru - 24% Kalonzo - 10% Ruto - 6% Karua - 4% Peter Kenneth - 2% Eugene - 2% Saitoti - 1% Musalia - 1% Undecided - 15% Total - 96% and where did a 4% go? I suspect the 4% is for Kibaki but since he is not in the race, there was no point putting it up for public consumption. I think the 4% represents the Nithi vote;a swing vote perse! Portfolio: Sold You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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McReggae		#65 Posted : Monday, February 20, 2012 3:22:30 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi		A new survey conducted by IPSOS-Synovate shows that PM Raila Odinga would beat DPM Uhuru Kenyatta in the event of a run-off between them. The survey shows Odinga would get 44% while Kenyatta would get 42% in the event of a run-off. ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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TAZ		#66 Posted : Monday, February 20, 2012 3:28:47 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 11/14/2007 Posts: 4,152		McReggae wrote: A new survey conducted by IPSOS-Synovate shows that PM Raila Odinga would beat DPM Uhuru Kenyatta in the event of a run-off between them. The survey shows Odinga would get 44% while Kenyatta would get 42% in the event of a run-off. This kind of scenario would cause a lot of tension in the country, kama 2007. I would prefer the gap to be more than 10%.
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B.Timer		#67 Posted : Tuesday, February 21, 2012 12:56:24 PM
Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/31/2008 Posts: 1,076		In a re-run the totals between the two would have to amount to 100%. In any case the target would be a minimum of 50% + 1vote Dunia ni msongamano..
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masukuma		#68 Posted : Tuesday, February 21, 2012 1:11:49 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi		McReggae wrote: A new survey conducted by IPSOS-Synovate shows that PM Raila Odinga would beat DPM Uhuru Kenyatta in the event of a run-off between them. The survey shows Odinga would get 44% while Kenyatta would get 42% in the event of a run-off. either the methodology used to interview respondents during this particular case is faulty or the aggregation of results is lacking. the correct methodology and/or correct aggregation are supposed to have both adding to 100%. there are only two candidates and the law is specific - its (50% + 1) of all voters CAST for the winning candidate! so if the respondents decided to vote for someone else or abstain ile. the (100 - (44 + 42))% that are not part of the study - they should not be counted. from my assessment, this means Raila will have 51.2% and Uhuru 48.8% of ALL VALID VOTES CAST! All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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McReggae		#69 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2012 11:20:59 AM
Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi		Todays Poll Raila: 32.7% UK: 15.2% Undecided: 11.7% Ruto: 7.9% MM: 7.1% SKM: 7.0% MK: 5.5% ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Lolest!		#70 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2012 7:05:21 PM
Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma		McReggae wrote: Todays Poll Raila: 32.7% UK: 15.2% Undecided: 11.7% Ruto: 7.9% MM: 7.1% SKM: 7.0% MK: 5.5% wapi others?
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