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KQ...free fall also bad for longterm investor
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stocksmaster
#11 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2011 12:31:47 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
VituVingiSana wrote:
LOL... I think KQ should de-list ;-)

What happens is that there is no market for the shares thus we wait for 10 years thereafter!

IMHO, if KQ can stay on the straight & narrow... moderate the growth to match its cash availability... then the EPS could be 20/year (or better in 10 years)...


The purchase of 9 Dreamliners at a cost of between Ksh 17.5 - 20B each (thats abt Ksh 160-180B Capital requirement) should really depress dividends for a long time to come as they service the debt. Seems the rights issue proceeds will only be enough (if they manage to raise the cash) for the down payment of the 9 Dream liners.

I think KQ may be bitting more than it can chew.....should have done a gradual acquisition of the planes.

Anyway, time will tell.

Happy Hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79
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sparkly
#12 Posted : Wednesday, December 07, 2011 11:20:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
simonmaina71@gmail.com wrote:
@Josiah...the market has a mind of its own which is totally unpredictable...the only way to know the right time is by waiting for the trend to start rising...then buying promptly and then ridding until the trent you are profiting from is over...then you sell..there is no sure way of picking a top

@simon Its easier said than done. You can however trade in the fantasy market and show us how its done, at no risk.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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simonmaina71@gmail.com
#13 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2011 6:40:20 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 11/14/2011
Posts: 50
No strategy is even 80percent accurate when dealing in stocks...its upon everyone to look for a method best suited for him...whether it is buying and holding,cutting losses etc...at the end of the year,what matters is how much money you made and not the methodology used....THE END JUSTIFIES THE MEANS
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QW25081985
#14 Posted : Thursday, December 08, 2011 7:13:50 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
@simonmaina71@gmail.com. give us the way forward . you seem to be knowledgeable in stock matters..
should we be buying now ?
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mlennyma
#15 Posted : Thursday, January 26, 2012 10:29:21 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Q3 passenger numbers up by 15.4% but rights cloud continues to spell doom for the share.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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FUNKY
#16 Posted : Thursday, January 26, 2012 10:57:54 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
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the deal
#17 Posted : Thursday, January 26, 2012 11:18:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Kenya Airways Q3 2011/12 Operational Performance: My Analysis

On this link
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mibbz
#18 Posted : Friday, January 27, 2012 12:53:31 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
KQ has been a bad buy for a long time,i remember in the 90s when the share price hit a low of 5.75,i was just 9 years but remember it well;it was sluggish for a while.....managed to jump in at 60 as it was going up,exited at 132 either in 05 or 06(can't remember) and the following week it was on a downward trend and has since then been going down.interesting thing is that most brokers including Aly khan Satchu really advise guys to hop on esp when it was in the 40s range but is there a point of buying a stock for ksh and it makes a 30% appreciation in three months when equity jumped from ksh15 to 25 over the same period? moral:do your own research!!if you cannot take into consideration what the brokers say but make your own decision. KQ is and shall be a sinking ship for a while.even post 2013 it shall perhaps hit a very optimistic 50 bob......
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platinum seeker
#19 Posted : Friday, January 27, 2012 5:57:00 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 10/22/2010
Posts: 35
Location: Nairobi
KQ issues profit warning. Earnings for the financial year 2011/2012 will be 25% less than the previous year.
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the deal
#20 Posted : Friday, January 27, 2012 6:33:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
It was Common knowledge that KQ was not doing well...look operating margins for half year.
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, January 27, 2012 6:40 PM | Reason: Not specified
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