This is something big. I said before that the ICC confirmation case made Uhuru more popular than damaging his standing. In the meantime, Miguna is destroying Raila.
Do we need to guess the results of a run off between Uhuru and Raila? This will be a landslide for sure.
Prime Minister Raila Odinga is still the most preferred presidential candidate with 34.70 per cent while his deputy Uhuru Kenyatta stands at 30.10 per cent in the survey done between December 12, 2011 to January 2, 2012.
In the first survey on October 1 to 23, 2011, Mr Odinga’s rating was 38 per cent while Mr Kenyatta’s was 24 per cent.
Mr Pembere said Mr Odinga’s popularity has dipped mainly due to the saga surrounding his former advisor Miguna Miguna and the controversy involving the Kazi Kwa Vijana programme.
“The recent ODM wrangles have made Mr Odinga’s popularity to dip also,” Mr Pembere said.
He said Mr Kenyatta's Hague case had won him some sympathy votes.
“The consolidation of Kanu which was on the verge of collapse recently has also made him to gain,” he said.
If the polls are called today, Mr Pembere said Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka will come third with 8.20 per cent while Eldoret North MP William Ruto will come fourth with 5.70 per cent.
Raila's challenge to Uhuru wanes in run-off elections