@Ogutuwalwanga
shhhh...don't tell any one I told you this,but I have made quite a packet by reading some of our resident gas bags and doing just the opposite. That is why I no longer criticize the voodoo that goes for stock analysis here.
Otherwise Nicholas Taleb got it right in 'The Black Swan.' You will get better results if you tossed a coin than listen to clueless 'experts.'
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)