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Housing Finance PAT up 197% against Q108
mwanahisa
#1 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 6:10:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Q1 09 results: PBT up 154% against Q108. Q1 09 EPS at Kshs 0.21 up 48% against Kshs 0.14 in Q108. However PAT is only up 2% against Q408.

All in all these appear to be commendable results given that Q1 is usually a slow quarter. The main challenge for Housing is that they have to grow their deposits and loans while they should increase their net interest margin,which has been quite low. Note following the rights issue last year,they now have quite a good capital base. I also understand they are in the process of obtaining permission from Central Bank to allow them to open current accounts for customers. This should certainly put them in good stead to attract low cost deposits. Management appears to be pretty upbeat on prospects. What do you guys think?



Opportunity calls but few respond.
Iborian
#2 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 9:48:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
Where the hell are they going to get the extra deposits? Govt is swallowing all the extra cash. Whatever little is left akina KenGen want to take. I seriously doubt that they can keep this gwroth up.
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 10:31:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
There has been a marked growth in money supply (thus higher inflation) & HFCK can tap into this. Also it can (& will) force borrowers to open accounts with HFCK thus increasing deposits.

*** Deposits will get expensive vs 2008 coz competition from KenGen,T-Bills,T-Bonds & other banks.

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
sheep
#4 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 11:32:00 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/24/2008
Posts: 781
This is one counter I have never understood and wouldn`t touch it with a 10ft pole.
The utimate goal of investing is to buy low sell high;if we re-write this core equation in psychology terms it becomes buy fear sell greed.
across
#5 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 11:33:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/7/2008
Posts: 54
when it comes to housing finance,i have never known what to think..so i decided to let Britak and equity do the thinking and if they took a bet on it..then why not!remains a buy to me.
Ruchwarsteve
#6 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 11:57:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/8/2009
Posts: 34
HFCK gradually has attracted a lot of attention from the market because of what Equity and Co have done. But unless one wants to hold on to it for a really long time it is not a counter to entertain. Escape when you can. Won't get in now even at 5/-

RUCHWARSTEVE -super surfing
Mainat
#7 Posted : Tuesday, May 05, 2009 9:03:00 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Has started being innovative-I think the makao sounds appealing if you have some cash and little time. Not something you can have said about HFCK of yonder. JM's magic rubbing off?

www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
mwanahisa
#8 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2009 8:37:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
There is no question that there is a lot of potential in HF. As some of you have observed,this is what JM of Equity and Britak/BAAM have latched onto. The question is how soon how can this potential be realised? Given the supply side constraints of housing in the country it is great to see the innovations coming through such as Makao to enable the lower middle class develop their own houses.

However,my own view is that we need to see something more RADICAL coming from Housing/Equity. For instance,why can't Equity TAKEOVER Housing? As they already own 24.9% while BRITAK has a 7.5% shareholding (which in turn owns 11.32% of Equity),it would only require them to buy an additional 18.6% to gain control. At current prices this would only require Kshs 642 million. However,the deal would not necessarily even require cash - as they could arrange a share swap. I believe that most HF shareholders would willingly exchange their shares for Equity Bank shares. Similarly,BRITAK/BAAM could cede their shares in HF to Equity Bank for more shares in Equity.

If such a deal were to happen,the benefits of HF alignment with Equity would crystallise much faster. While HF could continue as a separate brand,they would have access to much lower costs of deposits and would at the same time lower their operating expenses (due to sharing costs) while also accessing a much larger clientele. On the other hand Equity Bank would acquire a banking asset with the lowest Price to Book ratios among listed banks. This would also increase its Total Asset Base and leapfrog the likes of CoopBank and CFC Stanbic in size. The expertise garnered from HF's experience over the years could also come in handy as Equity expands across the region. A marriage made in heaven??


Opportunity calls but few respond.
VituVingiSana
#9 Posted : Wednesday, May 06, 2009 12:01:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,095
Location: Nairobi
It is a matter of time. Just give it 1-2 years once the mandarins at CBK have been convinced by EB.

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
gladie
#10 Posted : Monday, May 11, 2009 7:06:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/29/2007
Posts: 8
how far up can this stock get

gladie
Magnetic Touch
#11 Posted : Monday, May 11, 2009 7:51:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/31/2008
Posts: 90

Looks like the mkt is noticing the improved results. Price is inching up. Now that S&L is being absorbed into KCB,I would project that it is indeed just a matter of time before HFCK is made a subsidiary of Equity Bank.


Men occasionally stumble over the truth,but most of them pick themselves up and hurry off as if nothing ever happened.
lexus
#12 Posted : Monday, May 11, 2009 10:55:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/18/2009
Posts: 38
it all depends with the demand

work smart
mukiha
#13 Posted : Monday, May 11, 2009 12:07:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
Very high.....now follow this thread posted earlier: http://www.stockskenya.c...aspx?stk=0&top=14567
Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
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