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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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ecstacy
#1231 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 11:18:04 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
Cash is King!
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accelriskconsult
#1232 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 12:30:01 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/2/2011
Posts: 629
Location: Nai
ecstacy wrote:
Cash is King!



Only during periods of low inflation!
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the deal
#1233 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 12:43:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
New Blogpost: NSE20 Enters an Oversold Position Diagonal Triangle Takes Shape http://contrarianinvesti...riangle-takes-shape.html
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ecstacy
#1234 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 12:49:25 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
accelriskconsult wrote:
ecstacy wrote:
Cash is King!


Only during periods of low inflation!


Away from theory, apply patience with your ca$h!!! It's not just investing for the sake of investing or holding cash for cash's sake. Regardless of the crazy inflation figures, which I may add - may hit the top in Nov11, if one, and 'we' are many, are planning to return to equities, you don't want to miss the bus by tying funds in lengthy bond periods!!! anyho, by all indications, aren't rates on bonds & T-Bills on the rise???!!! Patience is key hence the applicable adage for the time 'Cash is King'!!! smile
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hisah
#1235 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 1:33:48 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
[quote=the deal]New Blogpost: NSE20 Enters an Oversold Position Diagonal Triangle Takes Shape http://contrarianinvesti...iangle-takes-shape.html[/quote]

If it's wave C then 3000 should hold. But fundamentals are so cooked thus wave 3 will unfold. The capitulation is taking time, but at wave 5, the squeeze will have most wanjikus on surrender mood. I'll be checking vols for mpesa & equity going forward.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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the deal
#1236 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 2:23:50 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
hisah wrote:
[quote=the deal]New Blogpost: NSE20 Enters an Oversold Position Diagonal Triangle Takes Shape http://contrarianinvesti...iangle-takes-shape.html[/quote]

If it's wave C then 3000 should hold. But fundamentals are so cooked thus wave 3 will unfold. The capitulation is taking time, but at wave 5, the squeeze will have most wanjikus on surrender mood. I'll be checking vols for mpesa & equity going forward.

Capitulation is taking place at the Kenol counter right now..wave 3 has taken its toll..if this thing/NSE turns into wave 3 or 5, i will surrender at 3000 cos the possibility of new record lows is real...by that time some brokers will not be able to pay salaries of their staff.
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Impunity
#1237 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 8:12:29 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
What was the all time LOW of Safcon?
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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jerry
#1238 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 8:23:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
Impunity wrote:
What was the all time LOW of Safcon?

2.50? I think 2.75smile is an early xmass.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
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sparkly
#1239 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 8:42:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Impunity wrote:
What was the all time LOW of Safcon?

2.55 though it was intra day
Life is short. Live passionately.
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1240 Posted : Monday, November 28, 2011 8:54:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
sparkly wrote:
Impunity wrote:
What was the all time LOW of Safcon?

2.55 though it was intra day

Correct! And this was in March 2009(between 4th and 9th). The Dow was seriously bleeding at sub 7,000pts! Can you imagine?
@SufficientlyP
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