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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
hisah
#1201 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 12:01:54 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hunderwear wrote:
hisah wrote:
Hunderwear wrote:
Yesterday's index numbers were 3288,are we likely to see a push below the 52week low today and what does it mean?

Yes and it simply means we're in a bear market.

@hisah,Good answer but a was asking about the effect of breaking the 52week low.Is A free fall in the offing?

If u break a former support you'll obviously go lower... Short selling would have helped in hard crashing and finding a support faster.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1202 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 12:05:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Eh, mpesa looks like it will let go the 2.90 guardrail today. Coupled with bleeding bank stocks, the slide is about to accelerate.
Fasten your bear belts...Pray
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#1203 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 12:15:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
the deal wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Foreigners are set to make gains if the shilling continues to strengthen. When they sell their shares, they will get more dollars than what they put in to buy the stocks. What's the next ingredient for a recovery.

I'm a foreign investor and i'm not selling the low PE's and high dividend yields are too good to ignore.


It's really beneficial. Even of you make no gains, you make forex gains (as long as the dollar strenthens.

would be liducrous to sell these companies at these prices
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1204 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 1:51:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
All looks set for the Friday Oct 14th 2011 record low index of 3277.50 to be broken!
Next week, i have my eyes set on member at below 16. This is in my view the support level. Millions of shares exchanged hands at this level in April last year.
Some more RooaaaarLaughing out loudly at my favorite 14.85 would do! However, a CBR rate slash Friday next week might make this a pipe dream!
I also have the Agri stocks in my mind i.e WTK and Sasini!
I can then say bye bye to a challenging 2011!
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1205 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 1:57:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Aguytrying wrote:
the deal wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
Foreigners are set to make gains if the shilling continues to strengthen. When they sell their shares, they will get more dollars than what they put in to buy the stocks. What's the next ingredient for a recovery.

I'm a foreign investor and i'm not selling the low PE's and high dividend yields are too good to ignore.


It's really beneficial. Even of you make no gains, you make forex gains (as long as the dollar strenthens.

would be liducrous to sell these companies at these prices

Wewe Aguy, have you checked your mails in the last 3 weeks?
@SufficientlyP
Mainat
#1206 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 2:13:09 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
NSE value approaching value pre-16.5% hike. In the unlikely event that CBK hikes CBR again next Thursday, NSE could easily go below 2500 on fundamentals alone...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
hisah
#1207 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 2:45:01 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Mainat wrote:
NSE value approaching value pre-16.5% hike. In the unlikely event that CBK hikes CBR again next Thursday, NSE could easily go below 2500 on fundamentals alone...

I have a sneaky feeling that cbr will be jerked up again! Maybe by another 200bps just to squeeze out any remaining 'takataka' siringi as @kizee calls it. Small banks will be forced into a merger at this rate. Money winter and frothy fundamentals will not permit NSE to float above 3000 esp with elections around the corner and a military operation to boot.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#1208 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 2:50:16 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
2,500pts
Mainat
#1209 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 2:59:36 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
hisah wrote:
Mainat wrote:
NSE value approaching value pre-16.5% hike. In the unlikely event that CBK hikes CBR again next Thursday, NSE could easily go below 2500 on fundamentals alone...

I have a sneaky feeling that cbr will be jerked up again! Maybe by another 200bps just to squeeze out any remaining 'takataka' siringi as @kizee calls it. Small banks will be forced into a merger at this rate. Money winter and frothy fundamentals will not permit NSE to float above 3000 esp with elections around the corner and a military operation to boot.

Very strange. What I call “deepening the hole economics” commonly propounded by the IMF. In the same way that an aggressive austerity is the last thing that Greece needed, a CBR higher than 12% is the last thing our economy needs.

Btw, the next person who tells me about how we fund or control our economy will get a sjambok across their backside…
Sehemu ndio nyumba
ecstacy
#1210 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 3:59:55 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
On Italy, at 6.5%, the yield on the six-month paper almost doubled compared to a month earlier and showed the appointment of an emergency government to tackle the debt crisis had failed to put a brake on Rome's spiraling borrowing costs...

Then...a meeting of the leaders of Germany, France and Italy yesterday offered no immediate progress in tackling the crisis...

Let it bleed!!!!!
569 Pages«<119120121122123>»
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