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KQ where is it headed?
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GenghisCapitalLtd
#51 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2011 1:13:02 PM

Rank: Bona-fide

Joined: 11/2/2011
Posts: 191
Location: Nairobi
KQ has picked up..what are your thoughts on that cz guys were expecting it to hit 15.
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“Be a yardstick of quality. Some people aren’t used to an environment where excellence is expected.” Steve Jobs,iGenius
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stocksmaster
#52 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2011 2:04:34 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
GenghisCapitalLtd wrote:
KQ has picked up..what are your thoughts on that cz guys were expecting it to hit 15.


Volume of shares traded so far is 29,500.......any price change based on such meagre volumes is statistically insignificant for a company with over 460M shares.

I still expect sub Ksh 15 especially if they dare offer the rights under the current liquidity crunch.

Happy Hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#53 Posted : Tuesday, November 22, 2011 3:20:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
I've noticed, with time, a funny trend in the price of this stock. It seems appreciate as value of oil and the USD depreciates vs KES.
With this in mind, sub 20 is a buy given that the USD is headed to 85 and brent racing down to $100 a barrel!Rights or no Rights!!
@SufficientlyP
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Aguytrying
#54 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 9:12:51 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
GenghisCapitalLtd wrote:
KQ has picked up..what are your thoughts on that cz guys were expecting it to hit 15.

good question. I am slightly bullish on this counter at current prices. I dont think they are stupid enough to do the rights in this environment, with the downturn and debt instruments so high. And its trading at a very low p.e! Imagine if they were to announce that the rights issue is pushed to 2013. What do you think would happen to the share?
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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hisah
#55 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 10:34:47 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Aguy - Are u factoring cheap dollar (cbk manipulation), high fuel & expensive loans, restive employees? If euroland goes poof, what will that do to passenger numbers in 2012-2013... Add rights in the cocktail and a tot is enough to get you high.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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QW25081985
#56 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 11:15:43 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
GenghisCapitalLtd wrote:
Here we go again with the strikes!!! Can't wait to see the effects on its stock this morning and I do concur with the deal Jambo Jet great idea.


hi @GenghisCapital. do you have people who do technical analysis at your place may be you can invite them here we share chart and stock analysis !!!!!!
and spice up wazua alittle bit...we are full of fundamentalist here !!!!!!
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#57 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 11:20:19 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
@Aguy - Are u factoring cheap dollar (cbk manipulation), high fuel & expensive loans, restive employees? If euroland goes poof, what will that do to passenger numbers in 2012-2013... Add rights in the cocktail and a tot is enough to get you high.

And in the airline industry, a plane crash is always a possibility. An iceberg too!
It's tough to be invested here, too many uncertainties!
@SufficientlyP
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Aguytrying
#58 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 1:28:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
hisah wrote:
@Aguy - Are u factoring cheap dollar (cbk manipulation), high fuel & expensive loans, restive employees? If euroland goes poof, what will that do to passenger numbers in 2012-2013... Add rights in the cocktail and a tot is enough to get you high.

the odds are against them. And their declining margins show this. But a correction to a p.e of around 5 would be in order if rights is cancelled. I've noted VVS, has kept mum over this thread, break the silence bana.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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guru267
#59 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 9:15:32 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
GenghisCapitalLtd wrote:
KQ has picked up..what are your thoughts on that cz guys were expecting it to hit 15.

good question. I am slightly bullish on this counter at current prices. I dont think they are stupid enough to do the rights in this environment. Imagine if they were to announce that the rights issue is pushed to 2013. What do you think would happen to the share?


@aguytrying KQ may have no choice in this matter..

It must launch the new airline in 2012 and they need the planes.. Plus the two major shareholders have pledged to take part in the rights issue.. I therefore do not see the company postponing the launch of this new low cost airline...

If the market doesnt recover soon a 3:1 rights offer will be in the cards..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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GenghisCapitalLtd
#60 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 8:52:10 AM

Rank: Bona-fide

Joined: 11/2/2011
Posts: 191
Location: Nairobi
QW25081985 wrote:
GenghisCapitalLtd wrote:
Here we go again with the strikes!!! Can't wait to see the effects on its stock this morning and I do concur with the deal Jambo Jet great idea.


hi @GenghisCapital. do you have people who do technical analysis at your place may be you can invite them here we share chart and stock analysis !!!!!!
and spice up wazua alittle bit...we are full of fundamentalist here !!!!!!

We do have technical analyst within the company and we will start spicing up Wazua with charts not only for currency but equities as well. Thanks for that.
Follow us on Twitter @genghiscapital
“Be a yardstick of quality. Some people aren’t used to an environment where excellence is expected.” Steve Jobs,iGenius
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