What are the option for current shareholders, who bought at 40-50 bob?
Here are my ideas.
1. Do not participate in rights issue, this will mean your dividends will be severely diluted and you the hope of ever selling at a profit will die. You will also receive a miserable dividend forever. And if u ever decide to sell, it will go with part of your soul.
2. Participate in the rights issue. Your dividend yield will not only be maintained but will increase significantly as you will get the shares at a lower price ie if it was 1.5/50= 3%. say rights at 20 it will be 1.5/20= 7.5%. This will end up will a total of roughly 5%. EPS for FY 2011/2012 will be diluted from 8.0 to 2.1 in case of a 3:1 rights issue and 2.8 in case of a 2:1 rights issue. Chance of selling at a profit will still be a mirage for many many years.
at 19.50 the share is trading at PE of 2.55!!!!
My conclusion is that while neither option is rosy, considering all factors constant and the 5-10 yr plan of kenya airways, taking up the rights makes more financial sense
more ideas please.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself