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Presidential Opinion Polls Tracking - now to 2012
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innairobi
#41 Posted : Friday, November 04, 2011 5:26:19 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/2/2010
Posts: 845
Organization - Ipsos-Synovate

Date of release - 4 Nov 2011

Links -

http://www.synovate.co.k..._presidential_candidate

http://www.standardmedia...s%20Uhuru%20closes%20in

Summary of results -
Raila - 34%
Uhuru - 24%
Ruto - 10%
Kalonzo - 9%
Karua - 5%
Eugene - 2%
P.Kenneth - 1%
R.Tuju - 1%
Other - 1%
Undecided - 12%

Total - 99%
All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.
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Lucid_Iam
#42 Posted : Friday, November 04, 2011 6:58:38 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
Interestingly, in a runoff between UK and RAO, 44% would vote for UK against 41% for RAO with 15% still undecided. This will be the decisive phase in the event G7 disintegrates. Otherwise first round will provide a clear winner.
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Magigi
#43 Posted : Friday, November 04, 2011 8:02:05 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/31/2008
Posts: 7,081
Location: Kenya
...1% ya Tuju imetoka wapi? ama ni bibi na watoto!
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Jaina
#44 Posted : Friday, November 04, 2011 8:03:02 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/13/2008
Posts: 558
innairobi wrote:
Organization - Ipsos-Synovate

Summary of results -
Raila - 34%
Uhuru - 24%
Ruto - 10%
Kalonzo - 9%
Karua - 5%
Eugene - 2%
P.Kenneth - 1%
R.Tuju - 1%
Other - 1%
Undecided - 12%
Total - 99%


From synovate results, its clear Infotrack was biased. Its now abit clearer who's Punda.

But politics changes first. If Ekatrina confirms the charges for all the suspects the game will change dramatically.
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thuks
#45 Posted : Friday, November 04, 2011 9:28:57 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 10/8/2008
Posts: 1,575
The emphasis by STD is interesting on the win at runoff - i sense subtle support for UK from this end
I care!
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maligumu
#46 Posted : Friday, November 04, 2011 10:03:13 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/22/2010
Posts: 510
Location: De egg
Dirty and quick research ! Go back to school a nd learn few applied statistics .dirty and quick !
Peace be with you
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Lucid_Iam
#47 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2012 1:56:37 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
Source- Insight Strategy Solution (ISS) - Never heard them before, probably this is the easiest way to market a research firm.

Raila - 34.7%
Uhuru - 30.1%
Kalonzo - 8.2%
Ruto - 5.7%
Karua - 3.7%
Saitoti - 2.6%
PK - 1.6%
Others - 2.6%

Link - http://www.nation.co.ke/...6/-/8rifh7/-/index.html

Date of release - 11th Jan 2012
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:03 PM | Reason: Not specified
sihingwa
#48 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:02:50 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 216
Location: Kenia
@ Lucid... They reported Raila lost 4% due to Miguna's negative publicity ... Uhuru gained 6% due to his efforts in better exchange rates Ksh/$.... the poor analysis makes the results even more doubtful
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Lucid_Iam
#49 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:11:30 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
Well, my advise is prepare for a possible presidency of either irrespective of allegiance to avoid post 2012 stress, again depending on ICC confirmation outcome in a few days time.
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:12 PM | Reason: Not specified
bkismat
#50 Posted : Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:17:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/23/2009
Posts: 2,375
Quote:
In an opinion poll released Wednesday by Insight Strategy Solution (ISS), 50.60 per cent of the voters would be youths between the age of 18 to 19. Another 32.80 per cent will comprise of an age group between 30 to 39 years.

Is this fact really possible?
It is better to keep your mouth closed and let people think you are a fool than to open it and remove all doubt...
-Mark Twain
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:18 PM | Reason: Not specified
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