Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/4/2009 Posts: 700 Location: Nairobi
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This is the best argument ive heard against everything ive said. A friend of mine decided to blast me for my views. its madness... your inflation cannot be domestic demand driven, it is imports driven, ie oil predominantly, raising interest rates will not impact that. current account deficit because consumption is not credit driven. all it will do is kill productivity of the dying domestic manufacturing sector (coz they can't borrow locally at these rates), while encouraging imports, implying a structurally high CA deficit, implying you need world bank again
inflation expectations can only be combated by higher rates if people believe the higher rates are effective. however, there is no consumer borrowing, so it can't be relevantI'm inclined think there's something i must have missed. This is why in economics no one is right. There's there's more to this story... “We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
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