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Is Kenya ready for mortgage-backed securities ?
JBlaze
#1 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 10:39:24 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/15/2009
Posts: 16
Kenya’s housing market is ripe for mortgage-backed securities within the next three years, mortgage lender Housing Finance said last week.

Frank Ireri, managing director of Housing Finance, Kenya’s second-largest mortgage provider by market share, said mortgage-backed securities are the next funding option for financiers in the housing market, as they seek to satisfy a huge demand fuelled by a strong middle class who are dreaming of building their own houses.....

http://www.theeastafrica.../-/2rq85xz/-/index.html

Nabwire
#2 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 10:46:44 PM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
Goodness, NO!!!
Nabwire
#3 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 10:51:40 PM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
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Herein lies your answer

As long as the initial borrowers are able to keep up with monthly payments, the system works well. But if a large number of homeowners default on their mortgages, a compounded ripple effect spreads through the economy, especially if a large number of high-value bonds have been taken up by investors all through the system.


Kenyans, please start learning from history.
Cde Monomotapa
#4 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 10:51:42 PM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
MBS? Hahaha. I tell U owning a part of the finance house will be more lucrative than owning the actual property going-forward. Well, untill it all goes !! POP !!, but before then...i'll prefer being in it via KCB S&L than HF smile
Cde Monomotapa
#5 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 10:56:32 PM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
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Nabwire wrote:
Herein lies your answer

As long as the initial borrowers are able to keep up with monthly payments, the system works well. But if a large number of homeowners default on their mortgages, a compounded ripple effect spreads through the economy, especially if a large number of high-value bonds have been taken up by investors all through the system.


Kenyans, please start learning from history.

No worries I've studied ur history, both ends of the stick, and I expect to make a fortune like ur smart guys. Then come back for the physical properties during foreclosure. 10cts to the $ hahaha!!
Nabwire
#6 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 10:57:41 PM
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As much as I would love to invest knowing full well they will default, it would be too painful to see Kenyans living in tents or homeless, the GFC was built on this concept, only problem is the mouse trap got more mice than it could handle, so the system jammed.
I think that those highrise owners are about to start defaulting, but atleast the mwananchi is protected since they are just renting, but when you set up the actual mwananchi to be the one to default, iko shida.
Nabwire
#7 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 11:02:06 PM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:
No worries I've studied ur history, both ends of the stick, and I expect to make a fortune like ur smart guys. Then come back for the physical properties during foreclosure. 10cts to the $ hahaha!!



Thats a fortune that I would not be willing to make, thats heartless!!Sad ie setting up unsuspecting people to sign mortgages they dont understand. By the way I wonder if the rates will be fixed or not??Shame on you Either way the mwananchi is about to be screwed big time.
Cde Monomotapa
#8 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 11:08:57 PM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Nabwire wrote:
No worries I've studied ur history, both ends of the stick, and I expect to make a fortune like ur smart guys. Then come back for the physical properties during foreclosure. 10cts to the $ hahaha!!



Thats a fortune that I would not be willing to make, thats heartless!!Sad ie setting up unsuspecting people to sign mortgages they dont understand. By the way I wonder if the rates will be fixed or not??Shame on you Either way the mwananchi is about to be screwed big time.[/quote]
A fool & his money? The properties will be enjoyed by my lineage, I'll die with the remorse or guilt, if any. smile
Nabwire
#9 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 11:23:07 PM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
A fool & his money? The properties will be enjoyed by my lineage, I'll die with the remorse or guilt, if any. smile[/quote]


Unaenda straight to hell, hakuna roundabout!!Laughing out loudly
Nabwire
#10 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 11:29:01 PM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
What Kenya needs is their very own Suze Orman, open up a thread watu wavote, wakinivotia, nitawork day and night to financially enlighten the Wanjikus. Pro is Kenya will be economically stronger, con is no more making money off Wanjiku's back. To those even contemplating signing a mortgage, its advised that you have 6 months worth of income saved up ( this does not include stocks, land etc, just cash that you can access easily). This though is recommended for the US where there is unemployment insurance, disability, food stamps, section 8, low income housing etc etc. Kenya on the other hand does not have a social/economic safety net, be warned that you should have 2-3 years worth of income saved, should you choose to sign on the dotted line.
Cde Monomotapa
#11 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 11:45:58 PM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Nabwire wrote:
A fool & his money? The properties will be enjoyed by my lineage, I'll die with the remorse or guilt, if any. smile



Unaenda straight to hell, hakuna roundabout!!Laughing out loudly [/quote]
:-P Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Nabwire
#12 Posted : Wednesday, October 05, 2011 11:59:37 PM
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Utanivotia nikuwe Kenya's Suze Orman?
Cde Monomotapa
#13 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:06:34 AM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Nabwire wrote:
Utanivotia nikuwe Kenya's Suze Orman?

Most def. Miss. Just make sure you kick the can as far as possible, like 10yrs more than the US coz at some point greed will overcome good intentions.
Nabwire
#14 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:09:07 AM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
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Just make sure you kick the can as far as possible, like 10yrs more than the US coz at some point greed will overcome good intentions. [/quote]


Sielewi, nikufe?? Kick the can = die Sad smile
JBlaze
#15 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:12:01 AM
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Joined: 7/15/2009
Posts: 16
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
MBS? Hahaha. I tell U owning a part of the finance house will be more lucrative than owning the actual property going-forward. Well, untill it all goes !! POP !!, but before then...i'll prefer being in it via KCB S&L than HF smile


@ Cde do you actually foresee the Kenyan house bubble bursting soon (5-10 yrs)? Housing demand continues to outpace supply...
Cde Monomotapa
#16 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:15:47 AM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Nabwire wrote:
Just make sure you kick the can as far as possible, like 10yrs more than the US coz at some point greed will overcome good intentions.



Sielewi, nikufe?? Kick the can = die Sad smile [/quote]
Sorry. Financially/economically that's lingo for delaying the inevitable for as long as possible, then !! POP !!
Cde Monomotapa
#17 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:19:19 AM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
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@Nabwire. The extended version is, "kicking the can down the street" (but that's till it rolls into a drain)
Cde Monomotapa
#18 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:21:35 AM
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JBlaze wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
MBS? Hahaha. I tell U owning a part of the finance house will be more lucrative than owning the actual property going-forward. Well, untill it all goes !! POP !!, but before then...i'll prefer being in it via KCB S&L than HF smile


@ Cde do you actually foresee the Kenyan house bubble bursting soon (5-10 yrs)? Housing demand continues to outpace supply...

My curve is 15-20yrs out. 15 of growth, 5 topping off, then a massive slide thereafter.
Nabwire
#19 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:24:46 AM
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Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
JBlaze wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
MBS? Hahaha. I tell U owning a part of the finance house will be more lucrative than owning the actual property going-forward. Well, untill it all goes !! POP !!, but before then...i'll prefer being in it via KCB S&L than HF smile


@ Cde do you actually foresee the Kenyan house bubble bursting soon (5-10 yrs)? Housing demand continues to outpace supply...

My curve is 15-20yrs out. 15 of growth, 5 topping off, then a massive slide thereafter.


Not good, I think my conscience wont allow this investment. Luckily, I had resolved to buy KCB before this, so niko sawa smile
QW25081985
#20 Posted : Thursday, October 06, 2011 12:27:02 AM
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Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
when a guy on wazua starts a thread asking where he/she can buy land for 100k just to get into the action , you know its time to bail out....
Property prices are just heating up when the economy is cooling off.there's a very big disconnect here.
when the property prices do catch up w/the economy this bubble will bust...
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