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Ksh at its weakest since it floated in 1994
Hunderwear
#261 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 9:59:08 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/14/2011
Posts: 639
2012 wrote:
kizee1 wrote:
domiciled


Is it just me or does that word sound like an insult?smile


It's true what they say:ENGLISH CAME VIA SEA IN A CONTAINER AND SOME TOOK THE WRONG CONTAINER.haha
kizee1
#262 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 12:35:50 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
domiciled
Definition
dom·i·ciled[ dómmi sld ]ADJECTIVE
1. resident somewhere: resident in a particular place ( formal )
Mainat
#263 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 12:38:01 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Some recovery after G20 promises that printers won't be switched off...
Never realised Ksh was this vulnerable to hot money
Sehemu ndio nyumba
stocksmaster
#264 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 1:22:04 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 439
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
My rudimentary understanding of what constitutes the prevailing exchange rate of currencies is that the four most important considerations in the rate include:
1. Economic and Political Factors: The Hague Six, Looming Elections hence rise in political risk, Famine in the horn of Africa etc.

2. Purchasing Power Parity: For the $ vs Ksh, what $ 1 buys in US is equivalent to what Ksh 99 buys in Kenya (Wonder wether this applies to real estate!!)

3. Short Term Supply and Demand of the currency: Rise in oil prices, Fall in Agricultural Exports etc (Could there be a case of dollars leaving Kenya for Swiss Accounts what with a change of guard in the horizon??)

4. Market Manipulation: This is where speculators and banks fall in.

Wonder which of the four factors above is predominantly responsible for the Ksh weakness???

Happy Hunting.
Mainat
#265 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 4:12:54 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Pointless exercise of selling $2 done by CBK again today. No effect on $/Ksh rate, but reduces CBK's fx reserves...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#266 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 4:54:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Looking forward to oil market de-coupling from the USD strength/weakness hoax & accepting the fact that its historic large consumers are now a lot receeded smile !! 60 dollar crude !!
Mainat
#267 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 5:35:36 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Cde- would wish for the same, but the fact of the matter is that OPEC has savvier folk these days. my understanding is that OPEC's floor price is $70. Ikifika hapo, Saudi and others develop supply issues...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#268 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 7:19:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Mainat wrote:
Cde- would wish for the same, but the fact of the matter is that OPEC has savvier folk these days. my understanding is that OPEC's floor price is $70. Ikifika hapo, Saudi and others develop supply issues...

That's for sure n that's why i'm calling $60 for them to atleast make a modest return and remain in production. I recall $40* crude during the GFC but I started "feeling" for them. $60-70 is fine and let it stay there for atleast 5yrs.
kizee1
#269 Posted : Friday, September 23, 2011 10:31:53 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
Mainat wrote:
Pointless exercise of selling $2 done by CBK again today. No effect on $/Ksh rate, but reduces CBK's fx reserves...

must be more than 2 i got 2...lol
hisah
#270 Posted : Saturday, September 24, 2011 9:22:26 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The KES fall is far from done! Goodluck CBK...

http://j.mp/qzr9Qu

If one was to look at the dollar rout on the emerging nation currencies this month, our EAC currencies are holding up well against the dollar blows!?

The Won, Singapore dollar, Rand & a number of commodity based econ currencies have take it on the chin esp the last 2 weeks.

I believe the markets are still in disbelief of the looming dollar squeeze. When it hits the fan, sizable global market selloff will be on cards leading to 'margin call central' as funds overcrowd the exit door in panic rush.
To unwind trades,
dollars are bought. That dollar index will rally past 90 if the squeeze is a giant margin call?! It wont be funny when it happens & commodities will be sold hard. @cde might get the $60 oil?

Margin call the movie was released recently. Watch it...

Update - http://af.reuters.com/ar...ws/idAFJOE78M08C20110923
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#271 Posted : Saturday, September 24, 2011 9:30:19 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
!! 60 dollar crude !! Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
hisah
#272 Posted : Sunday, September 25, 2011 11:45:15 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Toothless dog CBK... Just verbal threats. Show us the weapons. Showing up to a gun fight with verbal threats is ridiculous to say the least...

http://www.businessdaily.../-/5otquxz/-/index.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
kizee1
#273 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 9:49:17 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
100 paid
Mainat
#274 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 10:21:06 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
100.3 and heading towads 110. In inflation terms this implies we've imported an additional 20% inflation since MArch.
If this was South Korea, China, Indonesia, Brazil, they'd have brought fx/capital controls without a 2nd thought. Why is this? Because they understand fully that there is no such thing as a free market.
The professor is probably sat in his office busily googling Milton Friedman to see what he said about FX ABK
Sehemu ndio nyumba
hisah
#275 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 10:34:53 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
http://www.forexpros.com/currencies/usd-kes -> 100.30 with CBK brandishing a pen knife in a gun fight... Bure kabisa... And the dollar squeeze has not yet picked up the mojo momentum...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#276 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 10:40:02 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
smile this will make Nakumatt the most expe supermarket in Kenya and also slowdown the importation of luxury/discretionary doodads.
McReggae
#277 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 10:40:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
110/= by weekend!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Cde Monomotapa
#278 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 10:57:28 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
In other news, Brent Crude down to USD103/barrel. Let's see if it will break below $100.
KulaRaha
#279 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 10:59:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
hisah wrote:
Toothless dog CBK... Just verbal threats. Show us the weapons. Showing up to a gun fight with verbal threats is ridiculous to say the least...

http://www.businessdaily.../-/5otquxz/-/index.html


CBK is making things worse...someone needs to find a boss to run that place asap!
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
ProverB
#280 Posted : Monday, September 26, 2011 1:41:46 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
Reuters on African Markets- September 26th wrote:
KENYA CURRENCY:
Kenya's central bank said it was committed to a market-determined foreign exchange
rate only as long as it was supported by fundamentals, in remarks that spooked some
observers who feared a retreat from free-market policies.


http://af.reuters.com/ar...s/idAFL5E7KP0XE20110926

CBK acting on the dollar is seen as hindrance to free market policies..
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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