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Ksh at its weakest since it floated in 1994
Cde Monomotapa
#221 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 10:15:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
FUNKY wrote:
If Switzerland can peg its currency with the Euro why cant we take the same step?

Let's peg KES it to the Yuan, period!
hisah
#222 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 10:31:54 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
FUNKY wrote:
If Switzerland can peg its currency with the Euro why cant we take the same step?


KES is not privileged currency... Our CBK does not have the mighty printing powers of the G10 currency printers. In short CBK printers are dot matrix models...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#223 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 10:34:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
FUNKY wrote:
If Switzerland can peg its currency with the Euro why cant we take the same step?

Let's peg KES it to the Yuan, period!


I'd rather this in anticipation to 2015 reserve currency basket system representing all global regions as per their trade contribution and backed by gold. No more reserve currency issued from one nation. This is how to stop the ponzinomics...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
kizee1
#224 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 11:11:43 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
FUNKY wrote:
If Switzerland can peg its currency with the Euro why cant we take the same step?

Let's peg KES it to the Yuan, period!


I'd rather this in anticipation to 2015 reserve currency basket system representing all global regions as per their trade contribution and backed by gold. No more reserve currency issued from one nation. This is how to stop the ponzinomics...


pegs never work, even SNBs wont work, the weakness around the KES is structural and needs a structured solution, as of march our trade gap was -76bn! wth did guys expect, infact i think the next 2 quarters are worse, i will get the data and post it here
Mainat
#225 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 11:12:53 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
I agree that pegs rarely work unless like the SNb you have the weaponry to enforce it.
CBK must now think outside the box. Fx controls should temporarily be brought in while we have this EU crisis. In effect, CBK must control the amount of dollars that each bank and other fx dealers hold. It should also increase the pain thresholds in the discount window...
This will buy us time to fix the fundamentals e.g. BoP
Sehemu ndio nyumba
hisah
#226 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 11:41:48 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
kizee1 wrote:
hisah wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
FUNKY wrote:
If Switzerland can peg its currency with the Euro why cant we take the same step?

Let's peg KES it to the Yuan, period!


I'd rather this in anticipation to 2015 reserve currency basket system representing all global regions as per their trade contribution and backed by gold. No more reserve currency issued from one nation. This is how to stop the ponzinomics...


pegs never work, even SNBs wont work, the weakness around the KES is structural and needs a structured solution, as of march our trade gap was -76bn! wth did guys expect, infact i think the next 2 quarters are worse, i will get the data and post it here


http://www.tradingeconom...m/kenya/current-account - current account deficit equivalent to 81.3 Billion KES in the first quarter of 2011
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
FUNKY
#227 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 11:43:59 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
CBK INTERVENTION HAS NOT HELPED!!!!

http://af.reuters.com/ar...mp;virtualBrandChannel=0
hisah
#228 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 11:45:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Mainat wrote:
I agree that pegs rarely work unless like the SNb you have the weaponry to enforce it.
CBK must now think outside the box. Fx controls should temporarily be brought in while we have this EU crisis. In effect, CBK must control the amount of dollars that each bank and other fx dealers hold. It should also increase the pain thresholds in the discount window...
This will buy us time to fix the fundamentals e.g. BoP


SNB has tried this peg (EURCHF) since 2009 and the results are not very good to look at to date...

My reasoning is based on the yuan/RMB heading towards convertibility by 2015 or earlier depending on the G10 currency war fallout, there's nothing wrong by taking advantage of it. But as Kizee1 say, the structural issues are quite ugly at the moment... Sad

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
tonicasert
#229 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 12:18:08 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
I must say in the last 2-3 years I have come to admire the Chinese financial authoriries, despite all the noise about their controls.... a new order of "controlled capitalism"?? Pumped billions to lift the economy in 2009, started pro-actively hiking rates and controlling property market in the last 2 years to check inflation, now I saw they're using their offshore banks to encourage other institutions to maintain RMB deposits/reserves ->probably targeting RMB as a reserve ccy in the near future, as trades with China become unavoidable.

CBK is really caught between a rock and a hard place. They may have to resort to some form of exchange controls, similar to the ones in the 90's, on large tickets, as they run out of reserve ammunitions.
hisah
#230 Posted : Thursday, September 22, 2011 12:29:11 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@toni - since there are oil price controls and the other day a price control bill was passed, well with all the price controls around CBK can also effect fx controls and tell guys to shove it... Bad idea, bad idea smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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