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KQ 1Q 2011 Passenger Numbers up 28%
the deal
#31 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2011 9:50:15 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I hear there will be a big announcement this week...,!
2012
#32 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2011 10:05:24 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
I hear there will be a big announcement this week...,!


Figures or about the aircraft they bought from Brazil?
Kudos to KQ for ditching Boeing who have been snobbing them for bigger players.

BBI will solve it
:)
the deal
#33 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2011 10:16:21 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
2012 wrote:
the deal wrote:
I hear there will be a big announcement this week...,!


Figures or about the aircraft they bought from Brazil?
Kudos to KQ for ditching Boeing who have been snobbing them for bigger players.

It's about the Rights issue actually smile
mlennyma
#34 Posted : Tuesday, September 13, 2011 10:29:11 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
My rights price is 22-24 above this i'd rather be diluted and get in later at 18 to average.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
the deal
#35 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2011 2:40:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
A review of KQ's 1Q 2011/12 Passenger Numbers



1. Average Load Factors for the 1Q of 2011 came in around 68.1% slightly lower the 69.2% load factors achieved in FY 2010/2011. KQ's break even load factors for 2010/11 were 63.6%

2. Total passengers airlifted in 1Q of 2011 stood at 850908 which is 27.4% of the total passengers airlifted in FY 2010/2011

3. Considering KQ's Revenue per Available Seat Kilometer (RASK) for FY 2010/11 was 6.67 USc, one can easily estimate revenue for 1Q 2011/12 to be around Sh23.7 Billion if RASK increased by 5%

So as you can see from the above KQ started FY 2011/12 with a Bang!

Read more here http://www.contrarianinv...reliminary-analysis.html
VituVingiSana
#36 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2011 3:38:35 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
@the deal - Compare both FY numbers i.e. 1Q pax for both years as well as 1Q 2011-12 vs FY 2010-11. I believe 2Q (or is it 3Q) that is the busiest season?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
the deal
#37 Posted : Wednesday, September 14, 2011 3:55:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
VituVingiSana wrote:
@the deal - Compare both FY numbers i.e. 1Q pax for both years as well as 1Q 2011-12 vs FY 2010-11. I believe 2Q (or is it 3Q) that is the busiest season?

Yep 3Q and 4Q are the busiest I have been testing my formula...its been pretty accurate in estimating revenue...2011/12 looks strong but not as strong as last year...i'm worried about the recent salary hike...it my temper with margins.
VituVingiSana
#38 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:16:12 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
@the deal - OK, whatever you say just dont confuse Revenue with Profits. I expect Revenue to grow strongly over 2010-11 (10%+) but not so sure about profits...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Cde Monomotapa
#39 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:31:26 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
With South Sudans International Investor Conference in Oct.it will be BOOMING biz for KQ and if they like what they see it'll be avalanche repeat biz going forward.
the deal
#40 Posted : Thursday, September 15, 2011 10:39:19 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
VituVingiSana wrote:
@the deal - OK, whatever you say just dont confuse Revenue with Profits. I expect Revenue to grow strongly over 2010-11 (10%+) but not so sure about profits...

LoL net profit margins X revenue=profits....20% salary hike...i expect costs to be quiet high due to the weak Sh and inflation also huge fuel bill for unhedged fuel component...high airport taxes so net profit margins of 6% (IATA predicts net profit margins for the industry to be 1.4%) would translate to Sh6.4 Billion net profits if revenue clock Sh108 Billion...i call that the power of margins...
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