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How CBK fought and Lost the Inter-banking Lending Market Wars
youcan'tstopusnow
#21 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 3:45:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Even Wanjiku knows it takes rain to grow food in Kenya. She is doing better than a lot pple posing as " Kenyan investors" on Wazua.

Laughing out loudly CBK should hire 'Rain' from MK4 Laughing out loudly
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#22 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 3:47:52 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Even Wanjiku knows it takes rain to grow food in Kenya. She is doing better than a lot pple posing as " Kenyan investors" on Wazua.

Laughing out loudly CBK should hire 'Rain' from MK4 Laughing out loudly

Or Storm from X-men. Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
youcan'tstopusnow
#23 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 3:51:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
We can only wait for Q4...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#24 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 3:57:34 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Kaykay wrote:
@Cde, that is a valid point regarding the rains.
On another note the CBK says that it is trying to drive the agribusiness in attaining food sufficiency and VISION 2030, should they try and encourage banks to come up with tailor made products to support agriculture and other economic drivers such as tourism? Is it possible?

Haha...there is so much the commercial banks can be told. They'll always direct credit to "viable/productive" sectors (share-holder demands) but that's where parastals like AFC (Agric.Fin.Corp) are to come in but err...yah..they are not being effective.
kizee1
#25 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 4:17:18 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
Kaykay wrote:
@Cde, that is a valid point regarding the rains.
On another note the CBK says that it is trying to drive the agribusiness in attaining food sufficiency and VISION 2030, should they try and encourage banks to come up with tailor made products to support agriculture and other economic drivers such as tourism? Is it possible?


CBKs role is price stability and top defend the value of the KES, vision 2030 related agendas fall under the vision 2030 secretariat
hisah
#26 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 4:21:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Cde - As long as CBK doesn't have a mechanism to mop up those printed papers it flooded the market with last year in form of econ stimulus, inflation rates will remain high like a kite and above their 5% target. Rains will offer supply-side inflation relief, but how do they fix the volatile exchange with poor fiscal mechanisms?

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#27 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 4:26:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
NB: It is still a requirement by CBK that banks present their FX transactions books for scrutiny before qualifying at the discount window. In my opinion, and to summarise, I think the CBK is pointing to a return to fundamental banking i.e go out marketing, gather deposits and make loans (currently only KCB & Equity are visibly doing so). No more sky-larking and speculating (FX) at the expense of the greater economy. If this calls for a sector consolidation, then so be it.
Cde Monomotapa
#28 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 4:33:33 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
hisah wrote:
@Cde - As long as CBK doesn't have a mechanism to mop up those printed papers it flooded the market with last year inform of econ stimulus, inflation rates will remain high like a kite and above their 5% target. Rains will offer supply-side inflation relief, but how do they fix the volatile exchange with poor fiscal mechanisms?


Drying up domestic KES liquidity can always be done and the banks have had a taste of that at 26%. Wish we had an FX printer but since we don't only longterm solutions of import substituition will help. Geo.thermal, gasohol, irrigation and a mega BPO park to rake in the FX.
KulaRaha
#29 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 4:39:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
I think to be fair the issue is being clouded. Inflation may be imported or supply side, I don't argue, but I think the issue on hand is the CBK handling of matters.

A lame duck approach early on led to rampant speculation, mostly by banks CBK cannot discipline. A total turnaround then occurred, and draconian measures came next, which caused the liquidity crunch.

Now, this has been replaced with opacity, as in no one knows how the window rate is measured...followed by a bit more confusion, like selling tiny amounts of forex in the market yesterday.

Too much confusion reigns. What would be desirable is stability, a serious, mature, non-academic approach to matters.

Remember, you can defend either your currency, or your interest rates, but not both! Make a choice, and stick to it.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
kizee1
#30 Posted : Wednesday, September 07, 2011 4:53:55 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
KulaRaha wrote:
I think to be fair the issue is being clouded. Inflation may be imported or supply side, I don't argue, but I think the issue on hand is the CBK handling of matters.

A lame duck approach early on led to rampant speculation, mostly by banks CBK cannot discipline. A total turnaround then occurred, and draconian measures came next, which caused the liquidity crunch.

Now, this has been replaced with opacity, as in no one knows how the window rate is measured...followed by a bit more confusion, like selling tiny amounts of forex in the market yesterday.

Too much confusion reigns. What would be desirable is stability, a serious, mature, non-academic approach to matters.

Remember, you can defend either your currency, or your interest rates, but not both! Make a choice, and stick to it.



well said brother
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