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Ksh at its weakest since it floated in 1994
kizee1
#41 Posted : Wednesday, August 10, 2011 1:33:05 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
kizee1 wrote:
hisah wrote:
[quote=SAC Cohen]Shilling recovers 3 bob.

at 92.20... wa! see CBK Comments link coming up shortly


http://www.forexpros.com/currencies/usd-kes

Yap, throwing the kitchen sink and everything at it. The breakdown has been soooo disorderly since March. This is a guerilla war. Rogue trading needs to be tackled in rogue way...




tricky one my friend, this move will severely test the banking system, remember the system is expecting tax outflows next week add reverse repo maturities and well...shud be exciting!!! make sure ur money is in a solvent bank
hisah
#42 Posted : Saturday, August 13, 2011 11:54:16 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@kizee1 - definitely bank consolidation is on the cards. The small pretenders will be swallowed by the big ones.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#43 Posted : Saturday, August 13, 2011 12:09:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
The CBK has re-inforced itself as the lender of last resort. The banks have been shaken. Sell ur t.bills,bonds & fx for liquidity before U come to us. Excellent, no more hustling on the trading desks. Go out, gather depos & make loans like a bank ought to. Survival will be for the fittest indeed.
tonicasert
#44 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 9:13:44 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
I dont know how much CBK has been intervening with the KES losing so much ground.

Its interesting how SNB has been using swaps to intervene by pushing the swap points to the left and hence generating progressively more negative implied yields on the CHF, and maybe CBK could borrow a leaf and save depletion of reserves with spot interventions. This of course in addition to other tools like repos, window and CRR.
hisah
#45 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 11:36:06 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
The CBK has re-inforced itself as the lender of last resort. The banks have been shaken. Sell ur t.bills,bonds & fx for liquidity before U come to us. Excellent, no more hustling on the trading desks. Go out, gather depos & make loans like a bank ought to. Survival will be for the fittest indeed.

In short, short them bank stocks smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#46 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 12:05:32 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
hisah wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
The CBK has re-inforced itself as the lender of last resort. The banks have been shaken. Sell ur t.bills,bonds & fx for liquidity before U come to us. Excellent, no more hustling on the trading desks. Go out, gather depos & make loans like a bank ought to. Survival will be for the fittest indeed.

In short, short them bank stocks smile

Especially those that tend to serve their foreign masters more than East Africans smile
kizee1
#47 Posted : Monday, August 15, 2011 10:38:50 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
The CBK has re-inforced itself as the lender of last resort. The banks have been shaken. Sell ur t.bills,bonds & fx for liquidity before U come to us. Excellent, no more hustling on the trading desks. Go out, gather depos & make loans like a bank ought to. Survival will be for the fittest indeed.



interesting theory Mr KCB your darling banks q2 liquidity was 20.7%, are you still holdin tite to it?
the deal
#48 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2011 12:33:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
You can now track the Shilling vs Dollar Live here http://contrarianinvestingkenya.info
Mainat
#49 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2011 1:43:19 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Is the ngreat guvnor running out of conventional weapons for maintaining the Ksh?
Bottomline, he can't force banks to lend in this atmosphere.
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#50 Posted : Tuesday, August 16, 2011 3:41:18 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Mainat wrote:
Is the ngreat guvnor running out of conventional weapons for maintaining the Ksh?
Bottomline, he can't force banks to lend in this atmosphere.

He wants them to stop speculating and gambling and do fundamental business. I am fully behind his Ndecisions.
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