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KenolKobil first HY 2011 pretax profit up 86%
guru267
#181 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 3:43:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
@GG - I will not comment on the share price BUT the EPS will be much higher than your full-year EPS of 0.84 [I will venture 2x]

Ver unlikely that 2H will be better than 1H but 1H had unique factors...


If you discount the Half year results by 25% for the second half you still have an EPS of 2.3 meaning one can get their hands in kenol at a P/E of around 5..

I can almost bet these valuations cannot last for much longer.
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
youcan'tstopusnow
#182 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 4:44:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VituVingiSana wrote:
@GG - I will not comment on the share price BUT the EPS will be much higher than your full-year EPS of 0.84 [I will venture 2x]

Ver unlikely that 2H will be better than 1H but 1H had unique factors...


What then does that portend for 2012 1H?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#183 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 9:01:26 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
@GG - I will not comment on the share price BUT the EPS will be much higher than your full-year EPS of 0.84 [I will venture 2x]

Ver unlikely that 2H will be better than 1H but 1H had unique factors...


What then does that portend for 2012 1H?

Better than 2H 2010 last year but not as good as 1H 2011. Overall, my range is 1.80-2.00 as full year EPS. No complaints!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#184 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 9:54:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VituVingiSana wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
@GG - I will not comment on the share price BUT the EPS will be much higher than your full-year EPS of 0.84 [I will venture 2x]

Ver unlikely that 2H will be better than 1H but 1H had unique factors...


What then does that portend for 2012 1H?

Better than 2H 2010 last year but not as good as 1H 2011. Overall, my range is 1.80-2.00 as full year EPS. No complaints!


I'm talking about 1H 2012

As you say that 1H 2011 had "unique factors", will KK be able to match those profits in 1H 2012?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#185 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 11:11:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
@GG - I have no idea. My crystal ball doesn't go out that far!
Nevertheless, as a well-run firm with a great management I think they will do OK.

The 2 yr T-Bond yields about 10% less W/Tax = 8.5%

The current price is 11.50 & the dividend for 2011 will probably be 1/- less 5% w/tax = 0.95 = 8.25%

In 2012, I would be very happy to get 8.5% in dividends + there is a 'retained' portion that should manifest AFTER the elections. Assuming we don't kill each other.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kenyainvestor
#186 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 2:39:24 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/12/2011
Posts: 194
KenolKobil projects a rise in fuel prices during ERC August review http://kenolkobil.com/im...gher%20pump%20prices.pdf
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hisah
#187 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 6:54:02 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
[quote=kenyainvestor]KenolKobil projects a rise in fuel prices during ERC August review http://kenolkobil.com/im...her%20pump%20prices.pdf[/quote]
Expected! But the mwananchi wont understand why... Eventually the streets will get busy if the same happens in September... I wonder how gubberments will stem off the coming global unrest fallout...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Aguytrying
#188 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 7:48:48 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
In the same way we are shocked because of how low the other counters are going, when kk goes ex-div and the n.s.e is still in the current state. Many will be shocked just how far it will fall. I'll be waiting for it down there, so to speak.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Impunity
#189 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 12:03:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
Aguytrying wrote:
In the same way we are shocked because of how low the other counters are going, when kk goes ex-div and the n.s.e is still in the current state. Many will be shocked just how far it will fall. I'll be waiting for it down there, so to speak.


I wont mind picking it at 5,then wait to become a new millionare in the Autumn of 2013,when @VVS projects the share price to hit 20 bob!
smile
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

VituVingiSana
#190 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 12:14:52 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
I would love to buy it cheaper! I am holding off buying KK for now. I am waiting for it to drop! I hope it does coz leo there was a line at my KK for the 4/- Deal Poa. The Shell station about 300 metres away had NO cars!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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