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NSE 20(I) DOWN 22% SINCE LAST YEAR'S REFERENDUM
jerry
#1 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 9:10:38 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
On August 5th 2010 the index stood at 4,667.47 and today it's 3,645.12. A loss of 1,022.35 points or 21.90%! What do we expect by Dec 2011 or by next elections? Do we know when the elections will be held? Let's brainstorm!
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
jerry
#2 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 9:24:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
As @youcan'tstopusnow notes on another thread the drop today was huge, 2.05% or 76.41 pts which is more than the monthly average for the last 12 months.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
the deal
#3 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 9:29:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
The NSE20 tumbled by 2% to close at 3645, as a Global sell of equities ensued as investors exited emerging stocks and rushed to safe havens such as Gold after the U.S debt was downgrade by Standard and Poors over the weekend, the U.S lost its top notch AAA rating. The shilling fell to a fresh all time low against the USD, in fact last time i checked it was trading at 93.5 against the Green Buck.

I argue investors to trade with caution in this tough times, its time to get defensive sell off all those stocks trading on ultra high PE's, avoid penny stocks and get into counters trading on trailing or forward PE's less than 5 and those with high dividend yields, in short this is not the time to speculate and CASH is King , i expect shares mostly traded or widely held by foreigners such as Safaricom, KCB, Equity Bank and Kenya Airways to continue tumbling down as the global sell off ensues, foreign investors have been dealt a double blow-global events and the hemorrhaging shilling to be precise, the falling shilling has left them nursing huge forex losses on their portfolio's while local investors have been stung by super inflation. The key psychological mark to watch now is 3500. The sell off i never anticipated and it only points we are headed to a period of uncertainty characterized by global stagflation and local politics.

Read more here http://www.contrarianinv...bal-sell-off-ensues.html
the deal
#4 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 11:35:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
As a contrarian I believe recession fears are overblown...its time to think long term...buy well capitalised stocks...trading on low PE's...good dividend payers...and with wide economic moats...i.e KenolKobil...NIC Bank...Coop..TPS..

As a trader I can not go against the crowd even if the crowd is wrong..you will get killed...so I have a 10% stop loss on every stock I hold...
youcan'tstopusnow
#5 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 11:39:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
the deal, to answer a question you once asked:

"No! The Earnings season cannot save the NSE!"
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#6 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 11:41:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
And why the sudden change of strategy? I thought you didn't 'Buy and Hold'
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
the deal
#7 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 11:45:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
And why the sudden change of strategy? I thought you didn't 'Buy and Hold'

As a trader I can not go against the crowd even if the crowd is wrong...least I get roasted...money lost money I might not recover...@YCSUN i'm no more a contrarian..welcome to @deal the trader...i'm gonna exit that MSC tomorrow...thats a 10% loss...i will pack cash in my CDS as I watch how low KPLC...KCB...and NIC go...
youcan'tstopusnow
#8 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 1:13:20 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
the deal wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
And why the sudden change of strategy? I thought you didn't 'Buy and Hold'

As a trader I can not go against the crowd even if the crowd is wrong...least I get roasted...money lost money I might not recover...@YCSUN i'm no more a contrarian..welcome to @deal the trader...i'm gonna exit that MSC tomorrow...thats a 10% loss...i will pack cash in my CDS as I watch how low KPLC...KCB...and NIC go...


A change is as good as a rest they say.

Sasa utachange the name of the sitesmile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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