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The long bear
Cde Monomotapa
#101 Posted : Thursday, July 14, 2011 5:27:32 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Any returns this year will be on merit so shed the dogs and stack up the studs.

E.A Cables debuts these thoughts on the up-side. More to come.
Aguytrying
#102 Posted : Friday, July 15, 2011 11:10:05 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
The cat bounce is here, we are back people! we are back!
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
QW25071985
#103 Posted : Friday, July 15, 2011 11:29:39 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
Yep . Since things look cheap i expect a rally of some sort. Look at uchumi at 10.50 . Or kk at 10.80 Lol.
I wonder where the next ride for a 30% gain will come from.
youcan'tstopusnow
#104 Posted : Friday, July 15, 2011 2:16:48 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Centum had touched a low of 20.50! Now at 21 though, with some trades at 22. Aguytrying, but I still don't see the NSE ending up 10%-15% higher as you were saying...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Mainat
#105 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 6:14:29 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
When I started this thread in April, I had in mind a general election on August 2012 with two months to settle everybody’s nerves. Now that there is even a possibility of a general election in March 2013, it could be May 2013, before we see anything like NSE normalcy.
Perhaps that is why all these IPOs/introductions are happening now because firms are unwilling to wait another 2 years...
If you are in profit@ the NSE, you have 3 options. Hold and assume that the dividend (which will increasingly be spaced over a longer period), will compensate some of your unrealised losses. Liquidate and move into the only game in town. Or average down slowly in the hope that come 2014, ceteris paribus, you’ll be all smiles.
As I was saying to somebody yesterday, I wish we can fastforward the next 18 months until end of 2012.
Sehemu ndio nyumba
hisah
#106 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 6:28:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Mainat wrote:
When I started this thread in April, I had in mind a general election on August 2012 with two months to settle everybody’s nerves. Now that there is even a possibility of a general election in March 2013, it could be May 2013, before we see anything like NSE normalcy.
Perhaps that is why all these IPOs/introductions are happening now because firms are unwilling to wait another 2 years...
If you are in profit@ the NSE, you have 3 options. Hold and assume that the dividend (which will increasingly be spaced over a longer period), will compensate some of your unrealised losses. Liquidate and move into the only game in town. Or average down slowly in the hope that come 2014, ceteris paribus, you’ll be all smiles.
As I was saying to somebody yesterday, I wish we can fastforward the next 18 months until end of 2012.

I was thinking that the excessive NSE oversell would halt at 3600, but now with the US debt downgrade that is an outlier I couldn't factor in - a pole thrown into the spokes!
Indeed those 18 months are going to be a long wait in panic central. Somehow I have a sneaky feeling there will be a snap election!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Mainat
#107 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 6:35:20 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Hisah- was hoping for the same but the people who will probably have the 2nd last word on the snap GE are the same ones who can't pay tax bcos they can't afford to. Its in their interest that this parliament sits as long as its legally possible i.e. January 2013.
Sehemu ndio nyumba
kizee1
#108 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 6:50:18 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
hisah wrote:
Mainat wrote:
When I started this thread in April, I had in mind a general election on August 2012 with two months to settle everybody’s nerves. Now that there is even a possibility of a general election in March 2013, it could be May 2013, before we see anything like NSE normalcy.
Perhaps that is why all these IPOs/introductions are happening now because firms are unwilling to wait another 2 years...
If you are in profit@ the NSE, you have 3 options. Hold and assume that the dividend (which will increasingly be spaced over a longer period), will compensate some of your unrealised losses. Liquidate and move into the only game in town. Or average down slowly in the hope that come 2014, ceteris paribus, you’ll be all smiles.
As I was saying to somebody yesterday, I wish we can fastforward the next 18 months until end of 2012.

I was thinking that the excessive NSE oversell would halt at 3600, but now with the US debt downgrade that is an outlier I couldn't factor in - a pole thrown into the spokes!
Indeed those 18 months are going to be a long wait in panic central. Somehow I have a sneaky feeling there will be a snap election!



how low can we go? man this time the whole world is imploding, 2008 doesnt seem so bad anymore
sparkly
#109 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 8:01:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Damn there is a melt down... Mambo kwisha, if you have 'growth stocks' in your portifolio, SELL and run for the hills.
Life is short. Live passionately.
cnn
#110 Posted : Monday, August 08, 2011 8:17:59 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
sparkly wrote:
Damn there is a melt down... Mambo kwisha, if you have 'growth stocks' in your portifolio, SELL and run for the hills.

Tell that to a fellow trying to sell 2 million of a stock,with a demand showing of 87 000,all at the days 10% limit.
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