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Listed banks H1 results - Profits continue to grow!
mwanahisa
#1 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 1:35:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
My expectations:

Equity to continue leading the pack but the "foreign" banks - SCBK & BBK to claw back some ground on account of recent windfalls on foreign exchange trading. KCB & CoopBank to continue with their upward momentum but KCB not as robust as it could be.

Mid tier banks to underwhelm on account of their reliance on bond trading in 2010.

What say you?
mwanahisa
#2 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 1:55:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
@Cde, KCB surprised on the downside in Q1. I know you follow this counter extremely closely. What do you expect to come out of their "kitchen"?
Cde Monomotapa
#3 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 2:41:37 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
mwanahisa wrote:
@Cde, KCB surprised on the downside in Q1. I know you follow this counter extremely closely. What do you expect to come out of their "kitchen"?

I have observed that KCB is good at QoQ growth. The momentum for 2010 Q1 started at 15% to close at 56%. This year Q1 has kicked off @33%. Ceteris Parabus we can close @100% especially now that all Subsidiaries are in the green..some spice should come in from T-Bill income, spike in fees & commissions due to increased business & forex income thanks to the high volatility. Downside includes one-off consolidation/rationalization costs (which should be lower than expansion costs anyway), increase in provisions for bad debts & increase in utility costs (elec)-misc. costs.
Cde Monomotapa
#4 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 2:50:36 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cautionary: I'm a "what's next" kind of investor. Don't follow my picks if U get hungry too soon. smile
Cde Monomotapa
#5 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 2:53:08 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Cautionary: I'm a "what's next" kind of investor. Don't follow my picks if U get hungry too soon. smile

But if u may so wish, when nobody is looking, u get to accumilate for cheap & with the luxury of time Laughing out loudly
Cde Monomotapa
#6 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 3:14:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
NB: The Subsidiaries contributed a 2B loss to PBT in 2010, thus, KCB Group closed @ PBT of 9.8B.
Gadaffi
#7 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 7:22:41 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/13/2011
Posts: 284
Location: Nairobi
i dont think u can write off bbk even though there doesnt seem to be much activity in its operations. bbk is nt jus sittin there n watch things happen as its leadership position is taken away. i believe there is smthing big in the offing that bbk in plannin to unleash that will protect its position...I STRONGLY BELIEVE THERE IS..
youcan'tstopusnow
#8 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 10:01:55 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mwanahisa, Equity may still be king, but will they be able to match Q1 growth?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
chaliwong
#9 Posted : Friday, July 08, 2011 11:36:18 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 1/10/2010
Posts: 73
Location: kenya
Equity has slowed down lending. They are lending cautiously and loans are taking longer to be aproaved as they are being thoroughly scrutinised. Their advance salary bonanza has clasified most of their civil servants with CRB after they refused to pay. But they always come up with new avenues of income generation, lets wait and see.
Cde Monomotapa
#10 Posted : Saturday, July 09, 2011 11:25:12 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Gadaffi wrote:
i dont think u can write off bbk even though there doesnt seem to be much activity in its operations.

EXACTLY!! Lol!
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