wazua Thu, Apr 30, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

3 Pages123>
CBK moves to boost Economy
Liv
#1 Posted : Wednesday, December 03, 2008 11:49:00 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 1,311
CBK's lowering of the cash ratio by 1% is a good strategy to boost growth. The effect of this is that at least Kes 10 bln will be brought to the banking system for lending,etc. This is what countries in the west have been doing to ensure the countries do not sink into recession. In 2003 govt lowered cash ratio by 4% sending treasury bills interest rates to circa 2%. In my opinion,though this might have some adverse effect (inflation),it should bring some life to the NSE. I expect to see a small rally. If they lower the ratio again next month to 4% this may even result in a sustained rally to Feb- Mar 2009. But again there could be other factors that may affect NSE but at the minimum I see the NSE index bottoming out sooner than later. What do you think? http://www.bdafrica.com/...id=11575&Itemid=5812
wkisoi
#2 Posted : Wednesday, December 03, 2008 3:37:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/26/2008
Posts: 6
@Liv, I could not agree with you more on the issue of the CBK move being a good one.Only thing is that it cannot stop the global recession and hanging cloud of Waki and the possible referundum. The noise level of the Waki report will continue to plague us for the medium term while I think that at every opportunity that the market will go up say 10% the supply will flow in and push the prices back down. Inflation right now is also an issue. That is what happened to the short lived rally about a month ago. Earliest we can see any significant rise in my view will be March/April but definately not to the 4000 levels until say 12-18 months from now. We might have to contend with 6% dividend yields for now at best. All that matters is character
The General
#3 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 10:30:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
This is quite encouraging from the CBK CBK takes banks to task over lending rates The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
Gordon Gekko
#4 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 10:35:00 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
It is not for the CBK to demand explanations from banks. Don't bark,bite. Otherwise they join the Energy Regulatory Commissions of this world.
The General
#5 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 10:46:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
Section 4 of the Central Bank of Kenya Act states the core mandate of the Bank as follows: (1) the principal object of the Bank shall be to formulate and implement monetary policy directed to achieving and maintaining stability in the general level of prices; (2) the Bank shall foster the liquidity,solvency and proper functioning of a stable market- based financial system; and (3) subject to (1) and (2),the Bank shall support the economic policy of the Government,including its objectives for growth and employment. The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
kizee
#6 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 11:28:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/9/2008
Posts: 537
hmmm...lets see.... cbk cuts rates releases 10bn...same time MOF says government will borrow 109bn!...so cutting crr is a very clever way of doing a silly thing...depress short term rates so that banks are forced to lend to the government at higher rates...its then assumed that the government will use this money to boost the economy(keynesian thinking)..only problem is: 1.cbk/GOK crowds out private sector as banks shift their lending from private sector to public sector(purchase of t-bills/bonds) 2. kenyensian thinkin fails to work as our beloved government usualy spends bulk of its receipts on recurrent than developmental expenditure... What CBK/GOK should do inorder to spur growth is cut spending,totally do away with CRR and cut personal and corporate income tax....
Mainat
#7 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 12:07:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Liv- I like ur optimism but do note that: Banks in the west are not lending despite QE and rates being at zero. They are instead using the opportunity to repair their capital by charging exhorbitant interest margins. Ring a bell? Kenyan banks also need to do something similar though not the same scale due to loan loss provisions Banks are being extra-cautious given the negative forecast on the economy especially with no water,no electricity,budget deficit et al. They are only lending to very high quality customers Gilts are an attractive alternative for banks and I think CBK is actually trying to reduce GoK's cost of borrowing www.mjengakenya.blogspot.com
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Bashka
#8 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 12:25:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/31/2008
Posts: 116
@Kizee brilliant comments. CBK is releasing liquidity to the market to reduce the cost of funds for the Government while it is directly urging banks to extend this to the private sector thro reduction in lending rates. But the banks have increased appetite for govt securities which provide stable returns with less risk. Currently,there is a shift by commercial banks from private sector lending to public lending....this itself is against V2030 roadmap,which sees private sector as the main source of growth. On the same note,the banks are sitting on idle money,lending to private has slowed down. Cost of funds for the private sector are up,inflation is high (although caused by supply side effects); Is CBK attaining its core mandates?
The General
#9 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 1:28:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
@ Mainat, Kindly shed some light on whether banks sustain lending rates through costs or risks? The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
Waria
#10 Posted : Tuesday, August 11, 2009 2:11:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/11/2007
Posts: 213
Allow me to offer my pedestrian views The 10bn so released may not translate to increased retail lending levels witnessed previously since most SMes and salaried workers are already servicing loans and futher to that the bad loan provisioning has gone up for most banks Biggest beneficiary will be corporate bonds and 364 day tbill Me first,U next
3 Pages123>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.