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KQ.... Be carefull.
jammo
#1 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 6:18:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/12/2008
Posts: 345
A pretty high climber over last several tradin sessions...yesterday's price of sh23.50 is up 33% what it was 10tradin days ago...n far much bigger compared to lowest price reported this year..

Financial year ends march 31st thus due release soon.

Please note profit warnin issued earlier on

Also note that EPS year to year growth for 07 was -62.01 drop compared to 06.... Whatever their results..it will be worse than 06 let alone 07

Is it underpriced? Probably..but the fluctuation in price frenzy will increase toward announcements.

Make an informed decision please.

DISCLAIMER: This is the opinion of one Jammo,CFA,CPA,Opinionated and Loud,based in nairobi. Whilst care has been taken in compiling the data to be as most factual n logical,he doesn't accept any responsibility of accuracy or completeness of info contained herein..neither does he purport to be a genius!
The General
#2 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 6:27:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
@jammo,good looking out.


The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 6:31:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
@jammo - ALL the stuff you say (the bad stuff) has been factored in.

The good stuff: 1) KQ expects a better 2H 2) Stronger US$ helps since 90% revenue in US$. 3) Lower oil prices (except for hedged fuel costs but these are sunk costs) for the unhedged portion 4) Better/newer,efficient planes 4) Passenger recovery (no PEV this year,yet).

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
The General
#4 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 7:19:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/3/2006
Posts: 553
guys are 'in the gym' on this one

The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
The thicker the thigh the sweeter the pie.
VituVingiSana
#5 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 7:31:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
What does that mean? 'In the gym'

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
reithi
#6 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 9:02:00 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/12/2007
Posts: 75
I agree with Jammo's sentiments on this one. The fundamentals are still not very positive considering KQ is probably the most exposed counter with the global financial meltdown,irrespective of drop in oil prices,regional dominance etc. Besides,the profit warning has not been discounted by changing fortunes.

The price surge is speculative,and there will be some burnt fingers when the results are announced. Please tread carefully.

reithi
VituVingiSana
#7 Posted : Tuesday, April 07, 2009 9:35:00 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
LOL... even Jammo says it is under-priced so unless you are a speculator why not buy now. I have. Why? I believe they will do better than expected (the profit warning is old news) and they have the cash to grow over the next 2 years.

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#8 Posted : Monday, May 18, 2015 10:43:20 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,231
Location: nairobi
the internet never forgets

Gatheuzi
#9 Posted : Tuesday, May 19, 2015 7:41:41 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/16/2009
Posts: 994
@Jammo aka @ProverB remains the undisputed KQ analyst. He wrote it off when most of us still thought there was hope. Today a good number of wazuans have come to appreciate how complex it is for KQ to make and KEEP money. Those still gambling can continue doing so, after all its their money.
Time is money, so money is time. Money saved is time gained in reverse! Money stores your life’s energy. You expend your energy, get paid money, and store that money for a future purchase made in a currency.
Aguytrying
#10 Posted : Tuesday, May 19, 2015 9:49:43 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Gatheuzi wrote:
@Jammo aka @ProverB remains the undisputed KQ analyst. He wrote it off when most of us still thought there was hope. Today a good number of wazuans have come to appreciate how complex it is for KQ to make and KEEP money. Those still gambling can continue doing so, after all its their money.

The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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