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Realities of Forex Investment
QW25071985
#981 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2011 5:57:33 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
hisah wrote:
Trade update - Long USDCHF size 0.1 order triggered. Since this is a risky trade, I'm tightening the SL to 0.8380, TP - TBA. But long term aim is above 0.8950.


Mr Hisah. are u for real. are you actually taking a long usd/chf ???? its making new all-time lows and you are taking longs /???? . i know you are just joking..... Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Ceinz
#982 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2011 7:07:11 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Cable bulls have been shattered by bad numbers. GBP/USD 1.6400 resistance holding. A break below this will target 1.6300 initially, then 1.6175.
My EUR/GBP long trade still on.


GBP/USD a bit volatile entered a short trade @ 1.6390, but exited manually (16 pips loss). No more trades for today. Just hanging on the EUR/GBP trade. If my TP is it, il look for another long oportunity about the TP level. This is a previous high and I expect price to hold at this level.
“small step for man”
hisah
#983 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2011 7:15:38 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
QW25071985 wrote:
hisah wrote:
Trade update - Long USDCHF size 0.1 order triggered. Since this is a risky trade, I'm tightening the SL to 0.8380, TP - TBA. But long term aim is above 0.8950.


Mr Hisah. are u for real. are you actually taking a long usd/chf ???? its making new all-time lows and you are taking longs /???? . i know you are just joking..... Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

I'm trying to time a the bottom which is risky, didn't I state this, thus the minute lot size? Almost stopped out. I'll keep on looking for longs for long term trades. There will be a CHF bullish fall out. Always happens at bullish extremes. AUD, CHF & SGD all at risk of sharp reversals.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
QW25071985
#984 Posted : Wednesday, June 01, 2011 7:45:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
If you want to time a bottom try drawing fibs and time it at the 1.618 extension ( to the downside). And see if that level will be respectd for a correction.
Ceinz
#985 Posted : Thursday, June 02, 2011 2:43:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
Just hanging on the EUR/GBP trade.


Trade was exited at 0.8777 (+32 pips) Sad

Currently Long on EUR/NZD & EUR/CAD, probably my last trades for the week. Tomorrow NFPPray
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#986 Posted : Thursday, June 02, 2011 3:00:54 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Checking out 25 rules of day trading by Douglas Zalesky.
Ati,
#12 Don't hope and pray.If u do u will lose.Laughing out loudly
#13 Don't worry about the news, it's history.
#15 If ur trade is not going anywhere in a give time frame, it's time to exit.smile
#25 It is the market itself that wields the ultimate scale of justice. d'oh!
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#987 Posted : Friday, June 03, 2011 12:00:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
[quote=Ceinz
Currently Long on EUR/NZD & EUR/CAD.
[/quote]

EUR/NZD TP hit +128 pipssmile , might re-enter it.
EUR/CAD Long trade still on.
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#988 Posted : Friday, June 03, 2011 12:03:00 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:

Currently Long on EUR/NZD & EUR/CAD.


EUR/NZD TP hit +128 pipssmile , might re-enter it.
EUR/CAD Long trade still on.
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#989 Posted : Friday, June 03, 2011 3:07:33 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Ceinz wrote:
[quote=Ceinz]
EUR/CAD Long trade still on.


Trade exited manually, +102 pips. No more trades this week.
“small step for man”
hisah
#990 Posted : Saturday, June 04, 2011 12:33:58 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Stopped out on USDCHF - 56 pips loss. CHF is at bullish extremes & the eurozone CDS drama adds more fire.
Looking to sell CHF either long USDCHF or GBPCHF. Longterm.

EURUSD back above 1.46 smile Will be looking for shorts. The May 2010 script is still in play. Unbelievable smile Short term.

EURGBP above .89. My sell interest is above .90. Short term.

AUDCAD SL added @1.0550. If stopped out I'll still for shorts as long as AUDUSD fails to surpass 1.10. Longterm.

USDZAR - Will go long at 6.6. Longterm.

USDSGD - Will go long at 1.20 - 1.21. Longterm.

Other bullish extremes NOK & Taiwan dollar.

Noticed some weakens in the JPY futures. Maybe time too look for JPY shorts e.g. long USDJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY etc. If USDJPY breaks below 80, that will be the short JPY signal! BoJ is not about to stop intervention.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
QW25071985
#991 Posted : Saturday, June 04, 2011 12:44:21 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
@ hisah .come on man .how can eur/usd rallying and then you want to long usd/chf.that was a deliberate loss and you have failed inc capital preservation..i hope it was experimental and you took a small lot size....am long euro.

again the yen is strengthening. please donot go long yen pairs.for the sake of your a/c . take a look here and also on your chart

http://www.forex.com/pos...4-420c-9a87-2ee29261d638
Ceinz
#992 Posted : Saturday, June 04, 2011 1:01:03 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Gratias Hisah, this is invaluable piece of info.
“small step for man”
hisah
#993 Posted : Saturday, June 04, 2011 4:09:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
[quote=QW25071985]@ hisah .come on man .how can eur/usd rallying and then you want to long usd/chf.that was a deliberate loss and you have failed inc capital preservation..i hope it was experimental and you took a small lot size....am long euro.

again the yen is strengthening. please donot go long yen pairs.for the sake of your a/c . take a look here and also on your chart

http://www.forex.com/pos...-420c-9a87-2ee29261d638[/quote]

The USDCHF long was lot size 0.1 and a bottom picking experiment. Happy now smile

As long as the eurozone CDS continue experiencing feverish tensions, euro bulls will be killed again! Since I trade long term I don't see why I should take say a long EURUSD trade and ride it for 3 weeks and 'suddenly' lose those gains in 3 - 5 days of major selling... Doesn't make sense to my trade plan.

Some things to start looking at with hawkish eyes going forward for all FX traders and also futures and equity traders:

1. Eurozone CDS drama - ECB is losing its grip thus point 2 below.
2. US Fed Discount Window borrowings. The weekly report shows a major spike for 2011 in May after the "Portugrease" bailouts and the sparks coming from Credit Agricole and Dexia banks... The major concern here is the Secondary Credit Facility (SCF - reserved for bad banks) was used since March 2009 when the money world was still in rapture mood. With all the QE (n+1) and ECB bailout sea of money out there, why does the Fed permit SCF discount usage??? Unless there's no QE 3.0...
3. China is slowing down and with PBoC losing the fight against inflation with all the reserve ratio hikes having no effect especially on the construction boom, this one gives me the creeps. If this chip falls, it goes global - global recovery off - if it ever was there...
4. Australia housing boom is cracking quietly.
5. Food inflation - these protests/riots will fail many gubberments.
6. US debt default - this one just takes all bets off the table.

update -> http://www.youtube.com/w...feature=player_embedded
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#994 Posted : Monday, June 06, 2011 8:10:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Trade update - AUDCAD short @1.0450 SL hit (1.0550 - 2003 yr high) - 186 pips loss. Still looking for shorts. Why? At these levels all the way to 1.10 is a confluence of multi-year resistance levels. Spot at 1.10 has been a solid resistance level since 1994, 1995, 1996 and 1997. Check it out if your charts can go that far in the past... More indicators - monthly slow stocs overbought and monthly RSI just about overbought. Upper bollinger band is at 1.0630 - all lining up against buy momentum. I will repeat again, this is a monthly trade so patience needs to be exercised... I'm also banking on the Australian housing meltdown.

Checked out NZDUSD - this one could target 1.10 if it can surpass the 0.82 level (multi year resistance) with conviction. Otherwise, risks for a major reversal are likely. And with China on a slow down and Australia facing a housing sector meltdown, the bears have a bigger chance.

USDJPY - yet again testing the line in the sand (80.00) of the central planners... Intervention anytime soon. Shorts had better tighten their stops. Last time it broke down (after the Jap earthquake) it quickly crashed to 76.30 before the BoJ and G7 intervened killing the short term sellers. BoJ will not permit USDJPY peg to crash since an expensive JPY is bad for their crashed economy. They will print (debase) yens at all costs!

As for USDCHF, monthly RSI is oversold, slow stochs so oversold. Reversal in the offing.

EURUSD - monthly stochs overbought, turning down lower than highest peak while failure of 1.50 handle still holds. Monthly candlestick calls for a selloff. I don't like covering the euro since I'm a biased bear... smile

As for USDZAR and USDSGD, what I stated before remains the same.

Happy trading...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
sei
#995 Posted : Tuesday, June 07, 2011 11:47:25 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/5/2010
Posts: 3
Location: nairobi
Hie members,
Am in need of info about fx trading.Have read a number of tutorials about fx.Want to know if anyone offers training,the charges/duration and may be the min amount to start trading.Thanks
jaymmunyua@gmail.com
Ceinz
#996 Posted : Tuesday, June 07, 2011 8:02:12 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
sei wrote:
Hie members,
Am in need of info about fx trading.Have read a number of tutorials about fx.Want to know if anyone offers training,the charges/duration and may be the min amount to start trading.Thanks
jaymmunyua@gmail.com


The best way around fx imho is through self education, there is plethora of info on the net. Forex is an art, therefore ur success will be based on skills that u will build upon gradually. If u still insist on help u can mail me:ceinz1@gmail.com.
“small step for man”
QW25071985
#997 Posted : Tuesday, June 07, 2011 8:52:38 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
@ sei. lets talk on facebook . one on one ..

http://www.facebook.com/...e.php?id=100000212113995
hisah
#998 Posted : Wednesday, June 08, 2011 11:31:22 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
USDJPY below 80.00. Now let's see the yen bazooka in action again... BoJ intervention is not the big deal here. The G7 one is the real deal. The money masters cannot afford to lose Japan and maintain their 'global recovery' hoodini act...
In the meantime I like the clustering of all the global drama. It's about to get volalite in the financial markets... Steely balls will be required plus zero emotions else hearts will fail...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ngapat
#999 Posted : Wednesday, June 08, 2011 1:29:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 896
use/cad
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
ngapat
#1000 Posted : Wednesday, June 08, 2011 1:32:02 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 896
Eur/jpy
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
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