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NBK's Q1 2011 results the worst of the lot
mwanahisa
#1 Posted : Monday, May 23, 2011 2:53:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
PBT DOWN by 4% to Kshs 467,163K

PAT DOWN by an unprecedented 41.8% to Kshs 231,476K .

If NBK were to replicate this performance i.e. make 4 times the current PAT, this would result in a massive drop in the full year results
.

Marambii had better pull up his socks!
bartum
#2 Posted : Monday, May 23, 2011 3:39:22 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
i will only enter NBK when murambii is ousted(he will not quit) unless another kamzee is installed( will not be profetionally picked@
mwanahisa
#3 Posted : Monday, May 23, 2011 3:40:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Interestingly, NBK grew their Balance Sheet by a fairly impressive 13% to 67.8B between Dec 2010 and March 2011. Note that this is ahead of the likes of NIC Bank. They have also managed to grow their loan book by 9 billion from 14.5B in March 2010 to 23.5 B as of March 2011 and reduced their Govt securities by about 10B from 28.7B to 18.8B.
Ka-Dry
#4 Posted : Monday, May 23, 2011 3:51:18 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 3/15/2011
Posts: 33
Location: Nairobi
NBK has really tried given where it has come from. I see aggressive marketing of their Loan so its no brainer that its growing this rapidly.

I see the share price stagnating at 35-45 levels for another year and probably this will change when GoK pulls put the bank.... may be during the next govt past 2012
VituVingiSana
#5 Posted : Monday, May 23, 2011 7:43:17 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,356
Location: Nairobi
The 'loss' is due to a write-down of Bonds Held for Trading. The core business has done well. I have a strong feeling some banks are going to be hurting in 2Q 2011 due to losses in their Bond Portfolios.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
mwanahisa
#6 Posted : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 7:57:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
I got mixed up on this post and ended up using the March 2011 results as my base rather than the Q1 2010 results to work out the changes. This resulted in an increase in PAT and a slight increase in PBT in my initial computations.Shame on you ON ME!!!

However, my conclusion that NBK appeared to be in trouble remains.

I have reviewed the results once more and made the necessary corrections on post no. 1 above. I take this early opportunity to unreservedly apologize to any person(s) who may have been misled by my earlier post.
the deal
#7 Posted : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 8:06:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
mwanahisa wrote:
PBT DOWN by 4% to Kshs 467,163K

PAT DOWN by an unprecedented 41.8% to Kshs 231,476K .

If NBK were to replicate this performance i.e. make 4 times the current PAT, this would result in a massive drop in the full year results
.

Marambii had better pull up his socks!

Laughing out loudly. Clearly NBK wont make you money in 2011 and NSSF wants more board seats...i see boardroom wrangles there soon.
mwanahisa
#8 Posted : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 9:46:32 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
the deal wrote:

Laughing out loudly. Clearly NBK wont make you money in 2011 and NSSF wants more board seats...i see boardroom wrangles there soon.

@the deal, There are obviously problems brewing there, but if the truth be told, I would rather have NSSF in control of the board than guys who are apparently "accountable to nobody" and only owe their positions in the board to political connections.
selah
#9 Posted : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 11:23:17 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
the drop in PBT has greatly been attributed to drop in non interest income and increase in operational cost which Marambii should cap before it gets out of control.

Growth in loan advances and customer deposit is a good sign given that the company has tried to reduce its Non performing loans compared to last year.

The management blame revaluation of government bonds for this poor performance which seems to have dropped by about 10 billion.

Given recent reports indicate small banks have performed poorly this year due to the same reason lets hope the management will get a magic bullet to shore up this losses in the second Q.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
invest0r
#10 Posted : Tuesday, May 24, 2011 11:43:38 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/15/2010
Posts: 162
@selah, the recognised loss due to revaluation of government securities held for dealing purposes cannot be KES10B. The government securities held for dealing purposes have decreased from 10,788,688,000 (Dec2010) to 10,052,477,000 (Mar 2011). This is 736M decline and they must have traded some securities and transfered others to 'Held To Maturity'.
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