VituVingiSana wrote:erifloss wrote:VituVingiSana wrote:Giro Bank ad C&G are different businesses...
What I am curious about is how some banks with HUGE bond gains will do in 2011?
Banks like DTB will be OK coz they have expanded into the region. Not sure about the others.
CFC Stanbic might have a tough time in 2011 matching 2010's performance!
I seem to think that DTB is the bank that will be in a lot of shit. Though if my memory serves me right their growth on interest income was below 20% and their significant growth was from bond trading.
Well, if DTB made a one-off gain on Bonds in 2010 then that was very smart of them... but the core profits from lending will probably rise vs 2010
1) Regional expansion
2) Additional cash to lend from increased deposits + sale of bonds
3) Smart management
In Q1 it might happen. Q2 i don't see it happening at all:
1. With rising interest rates, i don't see them trading on bonds.
2. We are all sucked in by YOY growth and breaking down previous year's earnings to justify drops in income never works.
3. Income from their foreign operations was factored in their 2010 earnings.
4. I think Smart Management is what we might bag on!
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary