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Banks Wont make you Money in 2011
guru267
#11 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 9:39:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Many times analysts bite the dust,this prediction is not cast on stone but i agree this yr cant match last years rosses.

I agree with dyer and blair with an exception to KCB...
2011 wil rock KCB shareholders after q1
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwanahisa
#12 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 9:52:42 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
The big banks will weather this storm i.e. KCB, BBK, Coop & Equity. All of these made most of their profits from interest income and even though margins will reduce with a high interest regime, they will still be able to tough it out. BBK of course made some serious money from the sale of the custodial business, but if we ignore that, you can still see they made some good money from their other business. Their overall profits for the year will however be down, but not in Q1.

I do not know how BBK does it, but they make money even when they do not grow their loan book as much as the other banks. Perhaps, it is because KCB and Equity Bank are losing quite a bit of money in their regional operations.

I believe it could also be an interesting year for Stanchart who make money when other banks fade and vice versa.

As for the mid tier banks - DTB, CFC Stanbic & NIC, I will definitely agree. They will be in for a pasting. They made too much of their 2010 profits from bond trading.

Note, I am referring to trading results not share prices.

guru267 wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Many times analysts bite the dust,this prediction is not cast on stone but i agree this yr cant match last years rosses.

I agree with dyer and blair with an exception to KCB...
2011 wil rock KCB shareholders after q1

mkonomtupu
#13 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 9:53:20 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
If Banks wont make you money neither will any other sector. The time to get into banks was last year. 79% of my portfolio is in financials two banks KCB (avg entry price 18.25) and NIC (33.5). I have no plans to liquidate but i'm now chasing the utilities KPLC and KENGEN to balance the portfolio.
the deal
#14 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 9:57:35 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
mkonomtupu wrote:
If Banks wont make you money neither will any other sector. The time to get into banks was last year. 79% of my portfolio is in financials two banks KCB (avg entry price 18.25) and NIC (33.5). I have no plans to liquidate but i'm now chasing the utilities KPLC and KENGEN to balance the portfolio.

Hapana...the likes of C&G...MSC...CMC...KK...Total...the list goes on and on will make u money.
Cde Monomotapa
#15 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 10:06:36 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@deal, the alternatives u offer are appalling. I'd rather go utilities. I'm keeping my KCB & KGN.
mkonomtupu
#16 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 10:15:32 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
@deal i wouldn't touch KK and Total the margins in oil sector are just pathetic. MSC I will wait until it's 6.50 speculation can't invest in a company where CEO is thinking of running for governor. C&G, CMC these companies didn't make money with government passats
guru267
#17 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 10:25:07 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mkonomtupu wrote:
C&G, CMC these companies didn't make money with government passats

@mkonomtupu c&g have a completely different business model from cmc..

C&G is set for some serious growth while cmc must decline with its irrelevant model
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwanahisa
#18 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 10:30:30 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@deal, the alternatives u offer are appalling. I'd rather go utilities. I'm keeping my KCB & KGN.


KGN is less likely to make money for you than some of the deal's picks e.g. KK. Depending on entry levels, CMC and MSC are bound to make one some money, but for me they would purely be speculative plays. C & G is too illiquid unless one wants to be in for the long haul. As for Total, the deal, you had better forget that one!
the deal
#19 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 6:54:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Hehehe ati my picks are appalling C&G will continue to kick a**

Now i hope this GIRO Showing is not a pointer to the rest http://allafrica.com/stories/201104191058.html
For Sport
#20 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:03:46 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/23/2010
Posts: 1,229
Attributed to “a steep drop in earnings from treasury securities”.
Really?
What percentage of their earnings were attributed to trading in these securities?
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