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Anticipation of KCB Q1 results 2011
erifloss
#21 Posted : Sunday, April 24, 2011 11:22:40 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
If CBK continues to tighten up and cash strap these banks as they are doing right now & continue increasing interest rates, then i don't see the same growth or near the same growth in the banking sector this year as it was last year. Some of these banks made exponential growth from one-off items especially bond trading a good example being DTB.
www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/t3mayvz/-/index.html
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
madmanlabs
#22 Posted : Sunday, April 24, 2011 11:41:43 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/4/2008
Posts: 5
erifloss wrote:
If CBK continues to tighten up and cash strap these banks as they are doing right now & continue increasing interest rates, then i don't see the same growth or near the same growth in the banking sector this year as it was last year. Some of these banks made exponential growth from one-off items especially bond trading a good example being DTB.
www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/t3mayvz/-/index.html


I see the banking sector growing far and beyond anything it's ever been. Mortgages are at an all-time high and they will keep getting more as Kenyans wake up to the fact that we're exposing ourselves to the Real Estate meltdowns that the US experiences. I'd say keep all your bank stocks, esp. KCB.
guru267
#23 Posted : Sunday, April 24, 2011 11:55:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
erifloss wrote:
If CBK continues to tighten up and cash strap these banks as they are doing right now & continue increasing interest rates, then i don't see the same growth or near the same growth in the banking sector this year as it was last year. Some of these banks made exponential growth from one-off items especially bond trading a good example being DTB.
www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/t3mayvz/-/index.html

Banks will just pass the rise to the consumer and at the moment demand for loanz is inelastic..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
erifloss
#24 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 1:02:56 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
erifloss wrote:
If CBK continues to tighten up and cash strap these banks as they are doing right now & continue increasing interest rates, then i don't see the same growth or near the same growth in the banking sector this year as it was last year. Some of these banks made exponential growth from one-off items especially bond trading a good example being DTB.
www.businessdailyafrica....8/-/t3mayvz/-/index.html

Banks will just pass the rise to the consumer and at the moment demand for loanz is inelastic..

True, though you should remember that we are moving towards less cash chasing more goods and services. People save and invest the excesses thus banks that highly rely on common mwananchi are going to have it rough as compared to the ones that mostly deal with body corporates and high net worth individuals and this is when banks like stanchart make a kill and banks like equity find themselves in the slow growth zone. @madmanlabs, you only go for a mortgage when you are sure you can and will be able to repay and you can only do this with your surplus income thus during this inflationary period, uprising in the middle east, the US debt at an all time high, consumer spending down and commodity prices rising by the day i don't see some of the growth areas flourishing.
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
youcan'tstopusnow
#25 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 10:08:13 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
erifloss, are you predicting flat Q1 results?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
guru267
#26 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 10:39:41 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
erifloss, are you predicting flat Q1 results?

He/she would not dare. smile
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
QW25071985
#27 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 11:35:35 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
Basically the profit is single digit but certainly and improvement from the last based on its on going price action ( factorin in if u wanna call it that way)
Cde Monomotapa
#28 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 11:41:19 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
QW25071985 wrote:
Basically the profit is single digit but certainly and improvement from the last based on its on going price action ( factorin in if u wanna call it that way)

Which bank r u refn.to?
guru267
#29 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 12:26:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
QW25071985 wrote:
Basically the profit is single digit but certainly and improvement from the last based on its on going price action ( factorin in if u wanna call it that way)

If you are talking about KCB can we place a wazua sanctioned OFFICIAL BET on it
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Cde Monomotapa
#30 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 12:42:10 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
guru267 wrote:
QW25071985 wrote:
Basically the profit is single digit but certainly and improvement from the last based on its on going price action ( factorin in if u wanna call it that way)

If you are talking about KCB can we place a wazua sanctioned OFFICIAL BET on it

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