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Synovate Presidential Poll ratings - to measure or shape opinions
Rank: Elder Joined: 11/13/2008 Posts: 1,565
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I'm not a politician but feel compelled to agree with those that dispute Synovate's polls.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201104170037.html
I'll not comment on the obvious candidates but I have to suppress laughter if their poll shows Kalonzo Musyoka with 13% and Martha Karua with just 6%...and Peter Kenneth with just 1%.
If their sample was representative enough (young, old, rural, urban, 8 provinces, etc etc) I'd think the results should read differently....No way Kalonzo is in the top 3....
I think we all recall the "measured" way they released results during November - December 2007 which showed one candidates popularity rising...now they show one candidate's popularity declining...
You have to ask yourself how accurate these polls are.
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 131 Location: kenya
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I agree with you. I got a bad feeling these polls are not measuring opinions but infact conditioning us for a particular outcome. After ivory coast and libya, and a beberu in charge at synovate: anything is possible. On kalonzo, are you saying martha could do better?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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Pollsters get funding from politicians. They then do surveys that massage the egoes of the politician and misinform the public
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/13/2008 Posts: 1,565
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mgeman wrote:I agree with you. I got a bad feeling these polls are not measuring opinions but infact conditioning us for a particular outcome. After ivory coast and libya, and a beberu in charge at synovate: anything is possible. On kalonzo, are you saying martha could do better?
Yes - hands down!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/26/2007 Posts: 6,514
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Djinn wrote:mgeman wrote:I agree with you. I got a bad feeling these polls are not measuring opinions but infact conditioning us for a particular outcome. After ivory coast and libya, and a beberu in charge at synovate: anything is possible. On kalonzo, are you saying martha could do better?
Yes - hands down!
Even a 3 legged dog with one eye and no tail can do better than Kalooser! Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 5/31/2008 Posts: 1,076
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KulaRaha wrote:Djinn wrote:mgeman wrote:I agree with you. I got a bad feeling these polls are not measuring opinions but infact conditioning us for a particular outcome. After ivory coast and libya, and a beberu in charge at synovate: anything is possible. On kalonzo, are you saying martha could do better?
Yes - hands down!
Even a 3 legged dog with one eye and no tail can do better than Kalooser!
One should be sober enough to demarcate between ones own parochial view and the reality on tghe ground!
The Synovate poll:
The only issue is the time it is conducted - wait until electioneering time - the landscape will shift considerably. Dunia ni msongamano..
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/11/2008 Posts: 2,306
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Guys, politics just bring out the worst in Kenyans. When your preferred candidate is ahead in the polls, you cheer. When the guy you dont like is ahead you trash the poll ratings. It happens all the time.
IMHO, Martha is heading nowhere, neither is Peter Kenneth unless the president will be elected only by the good people of Gatanga. It does not mean that Synovate does not fiddle numbers which I think they do, but people, even if Angels carried out the study, someone would still accuse them of favouring the other party.
Great men are not always wise, neither do the aged understand judgement...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 11/13/2008 Posts: 1,565
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Robinhood wrote:Guys, politics just bring out the worst in Kenyans. When your preferred candidate is ahead in the polls, you cheer. When the guy you dont like is ahead you trash the poll ratings. It happens all the time.
IMHO, Martha is heading nowhere, neither is Peter Kenneth unless the president will be elected only by the good people of Gatanga. It does not mean that Synovate does not fiddle numbers which I think they do, but people, even if Angels carried out the study, someone would still accuse them of favouring the other party.
@Robinhood - not quite - you will notice I have glossed over most of the results to do with the main candidates. Above you say that we jeer any candidates we do not like. I am 100% for Martha but have refrained from saying anything about the "supposed" top candidates. But perhaps I should now. i think they are no good, busy bodies with the ethics of a K-street slut - there! said it. They will, just like Kalonzo has done with limited success, prostitute themselves politically - sleep in beds they vowed never to....only to gain power. I say F them!
I have limited my analysis to the ratings she has received vis a vis other candidates who, IMHO, cannot stand alone on their own.
We need leaders who are willing to sacrifice their own personal politcal ambitions for the good of the people.
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/5/2010 Posts: 131 Location: kenya
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Djinn wrote:mgeman wrote:I agree with you. I got a bad feeling these polls are not measuring opinions but infact conditioning us for a particular outcome. After ivory coast and libya, and a beberu in charge at synovate: anything is possible. On kalonzo, are you saying martha could do better?
Yes - hands down!
Are we talking about the same karua, the same that lost a seat in her backyard, dont be confused be confused by the kabogo and sonko, those won in their own right infact immediately abandoned her flower-no pun intended! If guys really believe you move to gichugu cos her constituents dont share your opinion.
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Synovate Presidential Poll ratings - to measure or shape opinions
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