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PORTFOLIO RESTRUCTURING
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mkonomtupu
#11 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 9:17:30 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
Interesting portfolio. looks like you come to the bash when the goat has been slaughtered you were late in getting into mumias and you were left behind when the music in the game of musical chairs stopped. You also getting in late on jubilee and KCB looks like you are chasing moving buses, please avoid jumping into a moving bus unless you are going to the last stop. Try boarding a bus which is yet to leave the station like KPLC and the oversold counters.


"Now Every gambler knows that the secret to surviving
Is knowing what to throw away and knowing what to keep
Cause every hand's a winner and every hand's a loser...
You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em
Know when to walk away and know when to run."
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Genghis Khan
#12 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 5:54:25 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2010
Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Are you on the board of CABLES? How did you get it to 50 p.c of your portfolio? smile


smile It was doing very badly and i couldn't sell... before i started selling BBK, KCB AND EQTY, cables was under 20%.
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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Genghis Khan
#13 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 5:55:57 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2010
Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
emlyn ngwiri wrote:
do the above percentages relate to the proportions of a given amount say 2m of your investment or do they relate to your stake in the respective companies?


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I hope ur joking...
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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Genghis Khan
#14 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:08:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2010
Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
Gordon Gekko wrote:
I hold everything you do except Cables and HFCK.

I have been restructuring my portfolio from end of last year. I was heavily weighted in financials but decided to spread 25% each in Commercials, Financials and Industrials. The other 25% is for speculation. I have divested from SCB, EQUITY and sort of brought Financials to near the target 25%. I also decided to have an anchor stock in each category, and have KQ, KCB and KK for this. I will however shift whatever I have in NIC for Jubilee at some point.
For speculation I'm holding Mumias which I will dump at 12 when it gets there.


I speculated heavily with KQ last year... bei ya mafuta... is it a local (kenya problem)... how much do the price changes affect KQ?

Mumias is one of my long term anchors... I'm banking mostly on the delta project... I'm watching the news for anything from COMESA though...

Generally I think banks will be on the upwards at least for the next 3years... I sold out when the market went south but I think I'm going back in... i concur with you on Jubilee... entry price / exit price??
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, April 15, 2011 6:10 PM | Reason: Not specified
Genghis Khan
#15 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:21:48 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2010
Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
Mainat wrote:
Interesting portfolio, but without seeing average cost, its difficult to give detailed advice.
I never hold more than 3 stocks in a stock exchange. I'd advice sell-off EA Cables (weaker Ksh and price of copper will mean higher cost of sales. TC are the investment group they were with the late James Gachui as chair & also Kibaki going will not favor them).

Not sure why you hold BBK, but if u must I'd swap it with StanCHart for the same proportion.


I'd sell MSC (future will be difficult unless we get another economist/developer as Rais). I'd also sell HFCK. I'd place proceeds of the above sales in Equity.
Finally, I'd look for one of the Aga Khan companies. Any is good...


What's wrong with BBK... its bigger and with better earnings than SCB?

I agree about dumping HFCK for EQTY... and about Aga Khan... can't figure what price to enter DTB if at all
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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Genghis Khan
#16 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:40:03 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/5/2010
Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
mkonomtupu wrote:
Interesting portfolio.
Thanks

looks like you come to the bash when the goat has been slaughteredI want to EAT not to help slaughter goats

you were late in getting into mumias I am in mumias heavily... check my numbers. I'm sure you have no idea when i got in.
and you were left behind when the music in the game of musical chairs stopped.

You also getting in late on jubilee and KCB looks like you are chasing moving buses, please avoid jumping into a moving bus unless you are going to the last stop.maybe ur right on KCB... i had JUB and won't lose much if i wake up tommorrow and just choose to buy at market.... did it close at 210

Try boarding a bus which is yet to leave the station like KPLC and the oversold counters.i know little on KPLC so no comment


"Now Every gambler knows that the secret to surviving
Is knowing what to throw away and knowing what to keep
Cause every hand's a winner and every hand's a loser...
You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em
Know when to walk away and know when to run."
You spent at least 5min of your time typing Kenny Rogers lyrics... buddy, time is money
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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youcan'tstopusnow
#17 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:58:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Genghis Khan, on Mumias, COMESA period likely to be extended.
On DTB, try maybe when the share goes ex-bonus. Like guys who did the same for NIC. Some got it at 41. It has reached a high of 47 today
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Impunity
#18 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:59:09 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
Paka at 2.10 will be miaowest,good for speculative intents.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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sparkly
#19 Posted : Saturday, April 16, 2011 9:48:54 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Nmg 23% kcb 20% sfcom 17% bbk 11% kk 9% access 8% nic 7 % tps 5%. Sold off bat, bamburi and eabl for other projects. Reduced bbk and nic. Increasing kcb, getting into kk. Planning to increase tps, kk and get into kenre
Life is short. Live passionately.
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kihato
#20 Posted : Saturday, April 16, 2011 9:59:36 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 4/26/2010
Posts: 6
Location: dxb
stock gurus like of njunge n stockmaster etc advice on this....
currently my portfolio (150k) 48%kcb,52%K.
i got cash 11k i want to invest in penny stocks.on monday aka.KK,Sasini,mumias,safcom,unga n paka.
vision 2030
i have daykio mwiki plot balance of 452k i want to clear on or b4 August 2011.By liquidating all stock held by july and also i allocate 50k from my salo as from april.
notes.
1.Daykio plots title not yet out even for those who have completed paying.
2.Suppose i invest 50k monthly to stock other than downpayment for the plot is it worthy the risk.
3.Suppose i pledge with bank to give loan on the shares money obtained i add to the 50k salo n invest in mid level stocks likes of kcb,equity,kq,and liquidate after 6 months is it worthy??.
please advice your brother on the possible scenario...its good to start from somewhere even if small.
thnx.
Businessmen do more good by creating jobs and wealth through investment, "not by being Santa Claus."- Carlos Slim.
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