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KENOL/KOBIL
VituVingiSana
#1551 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2011 1:50:18 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,371
Location: Nairobi
http://www.kenolkobil.co...4499dc4899ff4a9ffc4fb21

So KK expects prices to rise another KES 7.20 which means I am going to jaza my tank & some 20-gallon jerricans on 13th. At KK of course!

Is there is a chance that some stations will run out of fuel on 14th? Or simply not sell any until the 15th?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
hisah
#1552 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2011 1:52:12 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
http://www.liveoilprices...forecasts-150-soon.html

On Friday 15th going by the volatile trend of oil prices, ERC will most likely increase pump prices by 7 - 9% as per the international price volatility. So I expect to see the prices below.

Low estimate...
Super - 102.5 + 7% = 109.60
Diesel - 94.5 + 7% = 101.10

High estimate...
Super - 102.5 + 9% = 111.70
Diesel - 94.5 + 9% = 103.00

I'm not going to bother with jet fuel and kerosene since the same estimates are applicable...

KQ fuel costs will eat into profitability... The share price will remain depressed...
Industrials will continue experiencing high power costs. This is not helped by the fact that Aggreko has another two month contract extension - http://www.foxbusiness.c...tract-months-newspaper/

And finally, the CPI or inflation index will spike to the double digits.

Unless the smart guys can come up with a way to overhaul the oil dependency curse immediately, I don't see how oil won't break beyond $150, MENA crisis or not...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
VituVingiSana
#1553 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2011 2:27:47 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,371
Location: Nairobi
@hisah - It will not be immediate (5-10 years) but the smart folks in the West [not sure about the East but only SA in Africa does anything meaningful] are working on some novel solutions...

1) Use of non-oil sources for plastics. This means the demand for oil will drop.

2) Conversion of near-oil to oil like Shale & Coal. South Africa & Canada lead the way.

3) Improvements in technology means less fuel/km needed. That's why we get cheap mitumba cars! See hybrids in Japan, UK & USA. Always improving the range.

4) Microbes being bred to convert cellulose to fuel. Even better than ethanol.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#1554 Posted : Tuesday, April 05, 2011 7:21:30 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VituVingiSana wrote:

So KK expects prices to rise another KES 7.20 which means I am going to jaza my tank & some 20-gallon jerricans on 13th. At KK of course!

Laughing out loudly Applause Laughing out loudly Applause I can just picture the scene
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
BGL
#1555 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 2:01:12 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 10/11/2009
Posts: 1,223
This is the response of KPC as concerns the purposed threats of winding up
Its on page 21 DN but for those who haven't seen the print here it is.
http://www.2shared.com/document/Lb8Od1Nq/KPC.html
History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
selah
#1556 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 2:14:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
Quote:


Because KPC recognizes that the fact of service of the winding up notice will once again be given the widest possible adverse publicity
in the media, it wishes to take this early opportunity to reassure its business partners, users, employees and other stakeholders that
it is taking necessary advise with a view to safeguarding its position in order to ensure that it continues to fulfill its mandate without
disruption.


Advise from who? once the court sends a receiver manager can KPC really do anything?

'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
VituVingiSana
#1557 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 3:54:45 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,371
Location: Nairobi
selah wrote:
Quote:


Because KPC recognizes that the fact of service of the winding up notice will once again be given the widest possible adverse publicity
in the media, it wishes to take this early opportunity to reassure its business partners, users, employees and other stakeholders that
it is taking necessary advise with a view to safeguarding its position in order to ensure that it continues to fulfill its mandate without
disruption.


Advise from who? once the court sends a receiver manager can KPC really do anything?
Well, let them take whatever advise they want over the next 20 days... In the meantime, KK is in pole position!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
nahdy
#1558 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 4:16:25 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/29/2006
Posts: 184
VituVingiSana
#1559 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 4:37:34 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,371
Location: Nairobi
nahdy wrote:
http://www.nse.co.ke/newsite/pdf/YEAR%202011/Announcements/KenolKobil.pdf

eeh!!!! the guy is loaded....
huh?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#1560 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 5:03:37 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
nahdy wrote:
http://www.nse.co.ke/newsite/pdf/YEAR%202011/Announcements/KenolKobil.pdf

eeh!!!! the guy is loaded....

He's in just in time for the ESOPsmile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
238 Pages«<154155156157158>»
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