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The real cause of depressed KSH.
selah
#11 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 1:40:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
I just hope CBK is not being used to generate 2012 campaign cash....The most interesting part is that our KSh is loosing ground to even EAC currencies which is weired given that we are supposed to b the anchor to this economies.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
VituVingiSana
#12 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 1:55:56 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,376
Location: Nairobi
It would not surprise me if some 'connected' folks who are cronies of MoF honchos... sold KES to buy US$/Forex...

Watch CBK start buying US$ from these guys!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
kizee1
#13 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 2:00:42 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
selah wrote:
I just hope CBK is not being used to generate 2012 campaign cash....The most interesting part is that our KSh is loosing ground to even EAC currencies which is weired given that we are supposed to b the anchor to this economies.



the cbk is a private institution, theyre doin what theyr doin fro profit
selah
#14 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 2:12:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
kizee1 wrote:
selah wrote:
I just hope CBK is not being used to generate 2012 campaign cash....The most interesting part is that our KSh is loosing ground to even EAC currencies which is weired given that we are supposed to b the anchor to this economies.



the cbk is a private institution, theyre doin what theyr doin fro profit


Alykhan satchu see the Ksh.touching 100/$ now how is that making any business sense? when we are dependent on oil for most of our economy...at the end of the day we are loosing a lot with this depreciated shilling.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
selah
#15 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 3:30:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
Uganda is selling its $ to shore up it UGSH. Either our governor is very claver or we are going to the gutter....But with our coffee getting good prices and horticulture still dominating our economy it might work out for the best.I think the current shocks we are experiencing are temporary and we might see a surge once the arab world calms.

But on another Note can the JAPAN quake change the strength of the $ given that japan also hold large sums of US debts whic they might cash out to revitalise their economy after this disaster.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
the deal
#16 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 3:44:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Kenya is an import oriented country and its the small trader who import stuff from China, Dubai, SA etc who are being screwed by this weak shilling but its for my Rand dominated account more money for me.
Cde Monomotapa
#17 Posted : Friday, March 11, 2011 10:37:53 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
selah wrote:

But on another Note can the JAPAN quake change the strength of the $ given that japan also hold large sums of US debts whic they might cash out to revitalise their economy after this disaster.

U r most correct, it could cause dollar weakness but which could easily mopped considering the Feds QE ops that has created tons of liquidity. Glad oil has droppd below USD 100 with the quake. Also pleasd at UGX strength works well for SBU holders. The CBK could be speculating as well! Waiting to cash out @ 90 esp. on the comfort of the USD.500M IMF facilty incase they nesh!
kizee1
#18 Posted : Saturday, March 12, 2011 3:06:31 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
as i left the office ndungu had issued a statement saying the obvious, that the move was driven by spec accounts...such flippancy from a CB head is amazing, anyway monday should see some nice stop driven activity and the KES MAY recover, however in the long run the structural problems that took is to 86 remain....
selah
#19 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2011 10:18:17 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/13/2009
Posts: 1,950
Location: in kenya
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
selah wrote:

But on another Note can the JAPAN quake change the strength of the $ given that japan also hold large sums of US debts whic they might cash out to revitalise their economy after this disaster.

U r most correct, it could cause dollar weakness but which could easily mopped considering the Feds QE ops that has created tons of liquidity. Glad oil has droppd below USD 100 with the quake. Also pleasd at UGX strength works well for SBU holders. The CBK could be speculating as well! Waiting to cash out @ 90 esp. on the comfort of the USD.500M IMF facilty incase they nesh!


I heard on cnn that the Japanese govt actually pumped Billion of yen to its market to shore up its currency,apparently investors had ditched the $ to Yen before the tsunami disaster which straightened the yen, But following the disaster the Japanese stock market dropped by 6% which necessitated the BOJ to intervene by injecting cash to ensure liquidity is maintained.By today maybe we shall see a weakening of the yen and strengthening of the dollar as pple ditch the yen and buy the dollar.

bottom line we are screwed if the $ continue to strengthen.
'......to the acknowledgment of the mystery of God, and of the Father, and of Christ; 3 In whom are hid all the treasures of wisdom and knowledge.' Colossians 2:2-3
kizee1
#20 Posted : Monday, March 14, 2011 10:38:56 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
selah wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
selah wrote:

But on another Note can the JAPAN quake change the strength of the $ given that japan also hold large sums of US debts whic they might cash out to revitalise their economy after this disaster.

U r most correct, it could cause dollar weakness but which could easily mopped considering the Feds QE ops that has created tons of liquidity. Glad oil has droppd below USD 100 with the quake. Also pleasd at UGX strength works well for SBU holders. The CBK could be speculating as well! Waiting to cash out @ 90 esp. on the comfort of the USD.500M IMF facilty incase they nesh!


I heard on cnn that the Japanese govt actually pumped Billion of yen to its market to shore up its currency,apparently investors had ditched the $ to Yen before the tsunami disaster which straightened the yen, But following the disaster the Japanese stock market dropped by 6% which necessitated the BOJ to intervene by injecting cash to ensure liquidity is maintained.By today maybe we shall see a weakening of the yen and strengthening of the dollar as pple ditch the yen and buy the dollar.

bottom line we are screwed if the $ continue to strengthen.



theres no direct coreelation i could think of, as i have said many times kes is weak due to cbks incompetance...
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