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30 year bond reopening
maka
#1 Posted : Saturday, March 05, 2011 9:29:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
The MLF this week settled on reopening of the 30 yr bond and a 5 yr paper,with a slow down in the equities huge oversubscriptions are emminent during the primary opening some time nxt week...views?
possunt quia posse videntur
Scooby
#2 Posted : Monday, March 07, 2011 10:43:33 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/2/2006
Posts: 121
Hi Maka,

My views are three fold....

Firstly, there is a strong possibility that the cut off yield will be lower than the 12.96% rate for last month. I saw today's (i.e. 7 March 2011) bond prices and the indicative yield is closer to 12%.

Secondly, one needs to appreciate the fact that the government (or rather CBK) is indeed calling the shots in so far as the interest rates on the treasury bills and/or bonds. I saw they way people were keen on getting yields in excess of 14% last month - only to be disappointed at the end.

Hope this helps.
maka
#3 Posted : Tuesday, March 08, 2011 8:46:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
@ scooby thanx for that but isnt there some upward pressure on interest rates due to inflation and some other factors...so far the 30 yr hasnt even traded 2b in the secondary market guys will opt to put there cash in the 5 yr paper,if am not wrong since nobody knows,the highest bidder for last months auction for the 30 yr got the paper at 13.9% or there about with this in mind i think guys will go in a lil bit higher...btw rates on the 1 yr t-bill has gone up marginally and is expected to continue doing so...
possunt quia posse videntur
Scooby
#4 Posted : Tuesday, March 08, 2011 8:07:38 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/2/2006
Posts: 121
Hi Maka,

It is true that the interest rates have been on an upward trend for a while. This is due to the fact that the government expects to increase its level of borrowing to finance its activities and operations. It has nothing to do with inflation as one would expect.

The reason that many investors prefer short and medium fixed income investments is largely due to the uncertainity in the movement of interest rates. For instance, the yields for a 364 day treasury bill in late 2007/ early 2008 was around 9%. Compare that to about 4% currently.

Regards
VituVingiSana
#5 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 10:40:18 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,097
Location: Nairobi
Why the sudden need for cash? Again?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
maka
#6 Posted : Thursday, March 24, 2011 10:10:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
The results are out,bids totaled 29.5 B accepted was 19.8B,the 5 yr picked 10.1 B with an average of 8.50 and cut off 8.99,30 yr average 13.50 cut off 13.99
possunt quia posse videntur
The Merchant
#7 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 3:47:36 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
Any other bonds coming up soon?
Scooby
#8 Posted : Wednesday, April 06, 2011 7:26:26 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/2/2006
Posts: 121
The Merchant wrote:
Any other bonds coming up soon?


The Merchant,

CBK today issued an advert for a two year bond and the re-opening of a 15 year bond.

The details are on their website incase you are interested.

Regards
The Merchant
#9 Posted : Thursday, April 07, 2011 9:57:55 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
Scooby wrote:
The Merchant wrote:
Any other bonds coming up soon?


The Merchant,

CBK today issued an advert for a two year bond and the re-opening of a 15 year bond.

The details are on their website incase you are interested.

Regards


Thank you so much @scooby.smile
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