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Earnings Suprise Zone
ProverB
#61 Posted : Saturday, February 26, 2011 8:15:37 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
Gordon Gekko wrote:
qw25041985 wrote:
....you meant from industrials to financials...

No, I'm selling financials and buying industrials i.e have sold Equite and now waiting for KPLC at sub 21. NIC on the block at 55, might revise to 53 depending on the market next week.


i'm doing the same.. only that i still fancy finance stocks to buy begining early may..spread buying
only banks worth holding onto are those with corporate action attached to them..if any between coop/equity and DTK.. otherwise..finance stocks slump between March to late august annually since 2001..unless a bonus/split/rights action is attached..
proved and back tested... u can use the wazua stock profiler to confirm smile smile
consider

ProverB wrote:
Gadaffi wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@Gaddafi :-P we should mass action U as well.

after such a performance (KCB) that deserves recognition, the share price only managed a +0.25 at the close of the market. factoring in inflation, this share is nt worth holding either 4 speculation or any long term investment, not unless its for dividend purposes


Since back in the day...bank stocks have always fully factored fundamentals before release of the same..EXCEPT where such results were accompanied by some corporate action such as split/rights/bonus.. you can confirm using wazua's stock profiler..

It is the bonus that made BBK go up to 70..same to NIC today..albeit mild.. everyone holding on DTK..i included expects a bonus.. otherwise.. 145 is nice to alight with an average price of 103 don't you think? and with recent persistent slowing of the market..i ain't the smartest one to be the only one alighting counters upon results release.. checking by volumes traded.. smile

Best time to ENTER bank stocke is mid 3rd quarter..july-august

Historic..
I remember in college...2000-2003 following BBK... 300-320 between feb and march and 240-260 between jun-august... similar to stanchart and KCB


..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
PATTIE
#62 Posted : Saturday, February 26, 2011 9:21:20 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/20/2009
Posts: 73
hi wazuans;
i think EACables is just rallying itself up- a little set back before popping up before the books closes in March. the bonus seems attractive hence, might make it be noticed.
For Sport
#63 Posted : Sunday, February 27, 2011 12:30:50 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/23/2010
Posts: 1,229
VituVingiSana wrote:
For Sport wrote:
Portland's profits down - blames the price of clinker

Bamburi down - blames power costs.

Looks like the Industrials are set to disappoint this time around.
No, this is specific to cement firms [ARM hasn't released results]. Since 2008, there are 2 new players + all existing players have increased capacity. ARM has expanded Kaloleni. Bamburi opened Hima in Uganda...


ARM? What’s with the high P/E ? Growth?? With the construction boom we keep reading about, I wonder why cement producers should be struggling.

My staple has been oil, beer and sugar.

Sin Industry: Cigarrettes seem to be doing better than beer despite similar attempts at regulation (at least the smokers weren’t put on a smoking timetable as someone put it). Preferred beer though – maybe because I contribute directly to the bottom line + the faith in the regional market. Got a bit alarmed though when I heard one of their guys suggesting they would consider getting into the chang’aa market (kwani they don’t have faith in the ability of their current product mix to deliver?)

Sugar is touch and go but on MSC I’m 100% emotional (not smart) – been in since the beginning. Got out just once. Will keep buying – MSC hasn’t seen its 9th life yet.
Energy: watching KPLC. I’m a sucker for dividends (I know, I know go for growth) so I prefer oil – but even Total which had a stable dividend policy for a lo-ong time changed tack last year.

Waiting for the verdict on oil this year.
VituVingiSana
#64 Posted : Sunday, February 27, 2011 10:04:54 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,356
Location: Nairobi
Even with all the construction... the Supply situation has changed for the better [for consumers] since the 2 new cement firms [Mombasa Cement & another] have really put the pressure on prices. Then add extra capacity for ARM in Kaloleni. Plus Bamburi's exports to Uganda will drop [Hima has expanded its capacity as well]

ARM will also import cement from its huge Tanzania plant. All in all... looks good for consumers in the short term.

Now if S.Sudan, Lamu, etc all pick up [huge construction projects] then it looks good for the cement firms as well...

There is a new factory being built in Pokot as well...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
groove
#65 Posted : Tuesday, March 01, 2011 10:32:02 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 2/1/2011
Posts: 10
PATTIE wrote:
hi wazuans;
i think EACables is just rallying itself up- a little set back before popping up before the books closes in March. the bonus seems attractive hence, might make it be noticed.


Am also thinking on the same wave-length.
DON'T SELL YOURSELF SHORT
ecstacy
#66 Posted : Tuesday, March 01, 2011 10:58:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
HFCK...
invest0r
#67 Posted : Tuesday, March 01, 2011 2:25:24 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/15/2010
Posts: 162
ecstacy wrote:
HFCK...

... its quite bullish this week
bendi3
#68 Posted : Tuesday, March 01, 2011 3:02:56 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/14/2010
Posts: 106
And i am reading this thread like a bestseller mystery novel.Complete with never ending suspense.....
The early worm, is the one caught by the early bird.........
the deal
#69 Posted : Tuesday, March 01, 2011 4:35:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
SGL doesn't disappoint...watch this space.
youcan'tstopusnow
#70 Posted : Friday, March 04, 2011 9:39:05 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
deal, since selling C&G, it is down over 50 percent. Are you planning to go back in or are you the type not to give your exes any chance?smile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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