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East African Cables U Turn...
kazikwisha
#11 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 1:41:54 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/2/2007
Posts: 48
i believe it the dividends and the possibility of a pay day in march just makes it more interesting
hapa saa hii leo
kenmac
#12 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:01:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/26/2009
Posts: 1,793
does the + or - 10% rule still apply at the NSE?......25% must be a world record
......Ecclesiastes
Aguytrying
#13 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:05:48 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
I thought 10 percentage was the most a share could gain in a day. Ppl against daily market watch, imagine missing out on a chance to sell today, shares bought at 16. Coz who knows how long this upward swing will last. Daily market watch pays.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
mwanahisa
#14 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:06:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
kenmac wrote:
does the + or - 10% rule still apply at the NSE?......25% must be a world record


There is (was) a material announcement relating to EAC, hence the waiver of the 10% rule. BTW, 25% change is not exactly a world record. There are quite a few exchanges around the world with no limit down/up.
mlennyma
#15 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:09:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
When i was in trouble you gave me all the comfort and stood by me,now let me reward you...up 25% na bado
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mwanahisa
#16 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:16:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
mlennyma wrote:
When i was in trouble you gave me all the comfort and stood by me,now let me reward you...up 25% na bado


Hope you have sold some today. The depth of the bids does not exactly fill me with confidence. I am anticipating a drop in the price tomorrow, once the initial excitement wears off.

But remember, I am (was) a buyer below Kshs 18.
Liv
#17 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:28:47 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 1,311
Get some insights.... the Capital reserves have grown from Ksh 1.6 bln in 2009 to 2.1 Bln in 2010...i.e. ksh 586 mln. Part of this is from revaluation surplus and the rest from 2010 profits.

mlennyma
#18 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 2:38:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
The devil is not as black as he is painted.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Ephy
#19 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 3:10:28 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/18/2009
Posts: 19
This is a fantastic,FANTASTIC share to hold going forward. Long term though..it could hit a high of 50 by end of 2012.
Reasons :- a)They made a profit despite the challenges of YR2010,esp with regards to EAC TZ debts & LME prices that hit >9200 meaning demand for cables is big.
e)tc-transcentury bought a holding % of a Zambian Mining Company with aim to acquire copper steadily at a cheaper price.
f)Their re-entry into the data market with new partners besides nexans.Thats a big growth area.
b)Upgrade of their plant means a wider range of products,at a shorter time (efficiency).Big new market here in MV/HV products
c)Expansion of their distributor network in kenya increasing visibility & awareness. Opening the new distributor in Nakuru soon.
d)Export market expansion esp.DRC and S.Sudan.
See what everyone has seen,but think what nobody has thought. Albert Szent-Gyorgyi
Agra
#20 Posted : Wednesday, February 09, 2011 3:58:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/22/2007
Posts: 96
Location: Agra, India
Liv wrote:
@Maina20,
I recently bought substantial number of this share recently... but mine may not be very short term (should keep them for at least 1 year). My thought process was as follows:

1) For the last several months price has been around sh 16.00 just slightly above the lowest for the last 12 months which is sh 15.00. This was after they made huge losses caused by write-offs of losses in Tanzania & other subsidiaries. Such write-offs are unlikely to be repeated in the near future given the change in their business model. so there is a likelihood this price can go north especially if they start reporting profits again.

2) One of their Major customers could be KPLC. KPLC has cash now after the rights issue was oversubscribed. What do they want to do with the money?.... repairs of distribution networks to ensure transmission losses are minimised. Is there a likelihood that EACBL could benefit from the KPLC cash? If this happens this share might turn northwards.

3) Growth of the economy expected. Last time there was high GDP growth... there was high prospects for this share.

4) The Chinese imports will continue to affect their business. But I think those people who have importing things from China are also changing their business models..... I have imported things from China. In most cases you pay for the stocks usually high quantities (to enjoy lower prices)and bring them to Kenya and wait for customers or start using slowly. This means you take a huge risks in stocks. Many businesses are trying to avoid this risk and they would rather buy what they need and use and turn the cash rather than hold so much stocks.

5) Transcentury Group... this is a strong group. They are still investing. I guess they cannot just allow this company to stay a low value company.


Liv you were on point especial No.5
It's easy for investors to get emotional and prejudiced when trading, but computers don't
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