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EABL profit warning
bartum
#21 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 11:36:49 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
sheep wrote:
mmeona another bluechip @BAMBURI has broken badly today now at 196...glad I sold after suffering @200 for so long...EABL must obey the law of the markets and go down!

leo ni 225
pilsnerice
#22 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 11:52:44 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/18/2007
Posts: 3
On what volumes?
VituVingiSana
#23 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 1:33:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
EABL is very well managed... Great management depth... Not sure if I would buy @225 but coz I have other options!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
guru267
#24 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 2:23:33 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
pilsnerice wrote:
On what volumes?


@pilsnerice 191,600 shares traded which = 43.5 million kshs
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
the deal
#25 Posted : Thursday, January 06, 2011 7:39:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
The fast & furious
#26 Posted : Friday, January 07, 2011 8:56:34 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/24/2009
Posts: 112
madebe wrote:
ok. base it on fact. walisema wapi ati dividends will reduce? where is the report?


Now that a Kenyan has written on Reuters exactly what SUREALLIGATOR was saying, the story is now credible. I believe the journalist does not do ground research as well as SUREALLIGATOR does.

Reuters = Facts

What mzungu says = fact

Surealligator = Speculation = lies

African's are their worst enemies.

SUREALLIGATOR WROTE

EABL has said generous dividends to its shareholders will be a thing of the past as the company has and is going to spend most of its retained earnings on buying half of and revamping Serengeti Brewery. The reduced earnings will go on till 2014 if not 2016

Another key factor will be the re-entry of SAB Castle Brewery into Kenya, this time in a sure footed manner after previous harassment by EABL. SAB is harassing EABL in Southern Sudan and doing a good mash work on EABL in Uganda.

Add Mututho laws to the equation and EABL shareholders will have a low return on their investment in the medium term.

Recommendation: Sell now, buy in 2013.

REUTERS WROTE

Kenyan brewers see sales plunge on new drink laws

Thu Jan 6, 2011 8:58am GMT * Brewers register up to 50 percent sales drop * Law restricts drinking time, regulates advertising * Brewers say not consulted

By Beatrice Gachenge

NAIROBI, Jan 6 (Reuters) - Kenya's brewing industry says it has already suffered a sharp drop in revenue following the implementation of new laws governing the production, sale and consumption of alcohol.

Passed in September, ahead of the drinks industry's busiest period of the year around Christmas, the Alcoholic Drinks Control Bill legislation reduces the number of hours bars can operate and legalises traditional, often cheap liquors that were previously banned.

Drinks firms say they have registered a sharp drop in sales since the bill's implementation, despite a strong rebound in the economy which expanded by 6.1 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2010.

"We have compared our sales for 2009 and 2010 and we have seen a 50 percent drop ... the bill was rushed ... they (government) needed to consult us," Tabitha Karanja, managing director of Keroche Breweries told Reuters.

Rwathia Distributors, a dealer for market leader East African Breweries (EABL.NR), said sales were down more than a third after selling only 92,000 beer cases in December 2010, down from 150,000 in 2009. Nor will the beginning of 2011 offer much cheer for the industry.

"We projected selling 160,000 cases in December but we are now thinking of retrenching to break even ... January and February are the driest months," said Stephen Njuguna, an accountant at Rwathia.

"The timing of the implementation of the law during the peak season was not optimal," said Brenda Mbathi, corporate relations director at EABL, a subsidiary of Diageo (DGE.L) which produces leading local brands including Tusker and Pilsner.

SHARE PRICE HOLDS UP

Against expectations, EABL's share price maintained an upwards trend after Kenya's president signed the law, climbing from 195 shillings per share in mid September to a 2010-high of 225 shillings on Nov. 11 as the bourse enjoyed an eight-week rally. EABL opened Thursday's trading at 213 shillings.

But analysts expect the company's share price to fall once financial results reveal the bill's full impact and the cost of acquiring a stake in Tanzania's Serengeti Breweries last year filters through to the firm's bottom line.

"This is an inefficient market that does not react to such information," said Samuel Wachira, general manager of Drummond Investment Bank.
"Given the fundamentals, (the) acquisition of Serengeti and the alcohol bill, it will translate to reduced profits and dividend yields," said Wachira.

The new alcohol bill does, however, legalise traditional liquors that will now be subject to health standard controls, a move the industry applauds.

Hundreds of Kenyans have been killed drinking illicit brews laced with dangerous chemicals such as methanol, battery acid and bleach to increase potency.

But industry players are opposed to the strict new time restrictions which limit bars to serving alcohol between 5 p.m. and 11 p.m.. Previously bars could open 24 hours a day.
"It's ridiculous to restrict people from having drinks with their lunch. It is an extreme measure," said Allan Murungi, managing director at Sierra Brewery. (Editing by Richard Lough and Greg Mahlich)

© Thomson Reuters 2011. All rights reserved. Users may download and print extracts of content from this website for their own personal and non-commercial use only. Republication or redistribution of Thomson Reuters content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters and its logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of the Thomson Reuters group of companies around the world.

Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.


The signature of God runs in all things. Only fools fail to see it and believe in Him. However, others see it even where non exists - now you see where the false pastor comes in.
For Sport
#27 Posted : Friday, January 28, 2011 3:34:14 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/23/2010
Posts: 1,229
Looking to get in...
B
#28 Posted : Friday, January 28, 2011 6:03:32 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 12/16/2006
Posts: 14
...am in Southern Sudan -Western Equatoria state in the state capital YAMBIO n can assure u Castle is only do'n so well in its bottled water RWENZORI,,but EABL ,,TUSKER rules!
Bgan
For Sport
#29 Posted : Friday, January 28, 2011 7:36:05 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/23/2010
Posts: 1,229
B wrote:
...am in Southern Sudan .................................................EABL ,,TUSKER rules!


now there's a vote of confidence...
Cde Monomotapa
#30 Posted : Saturday, January 29, 2011 12:24:03 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
This alligator fellow must b a media guy with his catchy headlines..mara sijui oh..AK bought by Airtel..sille! Back to EABL. Beer is all about volumes and i would like all beer drinkers to admit that thre is a HUGE differnce btwn drinking at home and in the club! Thre r higher chances of ovrspending when out till 4 or 6a.m bt thnx to Mututho that's history. If it were possible i'd short sell EABL big time!
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