hi all,

now that we have reached the climax of the ocampo naming of the 6 names, the kenyan political landscape has just changed for ever...we expect to see a lot of political activities and realignments in the near future but that is a story for another day.

in the meantime, apart from the 6 whose future political careers and ambitions have been shattered completely, we will start seing other casualties trickling in with time...

on the ODM side, RAOs problems (political and not related to ICC) have just began...his right hand man (kosgey) is gone together with his voting block...expect the rest to follow...

on the PNUs side, martha karuas problems have just began...she has been fighting UK indirectly...he is gone but she will not inherit the voting block...any other upright politician that the PNU friendly regions fall for will carry the day...wiper is not lucky either...why did he side with ruto the other day?? this will cost him...

on the supporters side, the KK will now have a very good reason for a combined block...after all they have a common problem and sentiments...

lastly, kenyans political reactions are too predictable...i hope my brothers from the lake will be allowed to travel to their christmas destinations through kericho or kapsabet..

over to you guys...what impact will this latest action by ocampo has on kenyas politics, socio-economic development etc...

I disagree kagizzard.RAO ako poa.His enemy has been nailed.Chairman Kosgey wasnt going to bring him much Kalenjin votes anyway.All his boys and girls are safe

Kalonzo-He may benefit from a lack of clear kings and queens in Central and among the Kalenjin but this is not clear as it may benefit Raila as well(esp Central)

Martha-She must be happy!Uhuru, her only clear opponent in GEMA politics is out

For the ordinary Kenyan,no change

actually the opposite is true..The Kalenjin were not expected to vote for RAO..so he loses nothing there!!! Martha Karua's bargaining power has been enhanced by the exit of UK.....but for Kalonzo ..things remain the same!!!! no gain ...no loss..atabaki amelala pale pale tu!!

Putting things in perspective...
Next steps

The six expected to inform the Pre-Trial Chamber II their readiness to appear before the ICC judges.

The three-judge bench will weigh the merits of Mr Moreno-Ocampo’s application and could reject the request to issue a summons to appear, approve it or transform it into an arrest warrant. The Prosecutor expects this to happen in the first part of 2011.

If the chamber agrees with Mr Moreno-Ocampo’s request, the individuals identified will be expected to go to The Hague to make their initial appearance before the judges.

A public hearing to confirm the charges will be held.

It is at this stage where the judges review the evidence and decide whether it is enough to proceed to trial. The six individuals can be represented by their lawyers. The prosecutor expects this will happen in the second part of 2011 or the beginning of 2012.

The Pre-Trial Chamber II consisting of judges Hans-Peter Kaul, Ekaterina Trendafilova and Cuno Tarfusser will make a decision to confirm the charges and send the case to trial, amend or reject the charges.

Mr Moreno-Ocampo expects that the trial of the six would begin in the second part of 2012 or early 2013.

Nani EW?If this is the big mouth from Kitale then its pure shiet!