Prior to 2007 elections, my broker tipped me on a possible sell-off enmasse by foreign investors at the Nbi stock market.

There were tell-tale signs that rigging was eminent on both sides of the divide, tension was building etc.

Foreign investors had placed orders to sell at the first sign of trouble. I dilly dallied as I focused on the KICC saga. By the time I awakened, the market had lost 12% across the board. I went on a selling frenzy and in early 2009, started buying the shares at low low prices.

The only shares I never sold were those I bought in mid and late 90s. They are my security in old age and will most like never go below purchasing price in the future.

My appeal here is for anyone who comes across genuine evidence that we are heading into a serious crisis to let us know, debate the same and bolt to safer havens till things cool down.

Am talking about evidence that Eqypt does not want Sudan to separate into two due to Nile water issues and would take any extreme measure to foil the Jan 9, 2011 referendum in order to delay the same by six years.

Mpigs have refused to see reason to move the constitution implementation. An snap election will derail things.

Ruto, Uhuru and others may be having serious antics up their sleeves. So, we cannot rule out tensions around the country when Ocampo finally summons the murderers. What if Raila is summoned, will the same scenario arise compared to Ruto’s or Uhuru’s summons. What if Kibaki is summoned?

Will wikileaks cause leaks in the NSE if it causes the coalition government to function erratically?

My only concern would be if Raila & Uhuru are among the Hague Six.

Raila - Luos support him almost to a man. Even when he makes stupid comments then flip-flops. His followers are idiots who will uproot the railway or even destroy their own town. Then cry.

Uhuru - The cash-flush kikuyu elite (not necessarily the kawaida wananchi) see him as the next best hope as prezzie in 2017 or 2022. He was/is connected to the mungiki.

kalonzo - I would be happy to see in the Hague Six but I doubt he is on the list.

Ruto - He has been neutralized. Yes, there will be some chaos but the army can take care of his supporters as long as it is localized in RV [not in combination with Nyanza or Central]

Good questions certainly particularly on the issue of MPs sleeping on their job as far as implementation of the new constitution is concerned and hence the talk of premature election. Then there is the issue of Ocampo......
IMHO, all these offer great buying opportunities as these uncertainties will definitely affect the market in one way or another.
In short there is money to be made in the ups n downs expected, not just here in Kenya but around the globe, what with tension between N.Korea n S.Korea, China Taiwan, religious intolerance and so forth.
Also to note, there will never be a time when "things will cool down", uncertainties are here to stay!
Cash is King, so have it with you always to take advantage of a very uncertain world!

SUREALLIGATOR:If I would come to that info. before the subsequent NSE crash; I would let you all know---of course after all my SELL orders go through!!!!!

Wishing Kenya all the best.
All will be well