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Kausha
#11 Posted : Tuesday, August 04, 2009 1:14:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
Adan ni mpishi Bora....their Gross NPL book has gone up 41% while their provisions have dropped by 62%......obviously someone refused to make the correct entry for the provisions. Loan book shrinking by 10B in 6 months,struggling to maintain deposits and borrowing from CBK same as KCB....huu ni upishi but one good thing is that they can surely keep their costs under control.
VituVingiSana
#12 Posted : Tuesday, August 04, 2009 3:37:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
Just coz BBK's loans go up does not mean the loan loss provisions go up by the same factor. The general provision (1% or so) has to be increased NOT the specific provision. That 'loss' comes about later if the loan quality decreases. ____* BBK has always been more prudent. We saw that in the 1990s... unlike KCB or other banks that are 'newer'.

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Kausha
#13 Posted : Tuesday, August 04, 2009 4:02:00 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
VVS wewe familiarize yourself with the entire set of results. What you are saying is exposing you. Loans went down,gross npl's are the ones that went up.....look at the bottom page/disclosure page,the gross npls went up from 5986 to 8300. That equates to 8.4% of the entire 98B book. They are not earning anything much from the 8300. provisioning must then reflect that fact. dont argue about specific provisions,hiyo haina maana,hapana! worse is they are even carrying a naked exposure of 670m
VituVingiSana
#14 Posted : Tuesday, August 04, 2009 5:17:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
@kausha - I agree that its the NPLs that will produce the worst losses... Got the results but this weekend is crunch time for me to review KCB & BBK. As for loan/default management... I think BBK is among the better banks. They have much more experience & systems to follow up on folks who are likely to default. The level of provisioning does seem suspect vs last year. On the other hand,BBK took some tough steps in 4Q 2008 thus reducing the need for provision.
____ * I did not say loans for BBK went up BUT a generally an increase in loans does NOT equate to an increase in provisions (excepting general provisions).

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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