With the rights issue price having been set at Ksh 19.50, and the share currently trading at Ksh 225 (Ksh 28.125 post split), this gives a spread of Ksh 8.60.
The spread will most likely shrink once the current shares go ex rights.
It will be interesting to see the prevailing share price on November 30th and the rights premium price on December 1st.
My prediction would be a share price of Ksh 25 on November 30th and a rights premium price of Ksh 3 - 4.
A capital gain of between 10% to 20% is possible on this counter (depending on ones entry point/strategy) within the next 3 months.
Several strategies are valid for those not currently holding the stock/wanting to increase their stake in KPLC:
1. Buy at current prices (Ksh 28.125) and get approximately 40% additional shares as rights costing Ksh 19.50. The rights allocated can be sold for abt Ksh 3-4 if one does not want to pay for additional shares.
2. Purchase the rights at a premium from the market then pay for them. (If only 5% of the 488M rights trade at the NSE, this will be about 24.4M rights).
3. Purchase a few rights from the market then apply for additional allocation hoping that some shares will be left unsubscribed for. This may be risky if the financiers (banks) get in to finance the rights. I am informed that Equity is planning to finance the public to take up their rights.
4. Purchase the KPLC shares from the market once they go ex-rights.
What is your strategy?
Happy hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79