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Are Synovate's polls losing credibility?
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Njore
#1 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 12:49:06 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/6/2010
Posts: 110
Surely, I do not need to have even done elementary statistics to know that the polls released by Synovate on Saturday were a complete sham. They cannot fool Kenyans that the ODM's star is rising when we all know very well that the party is seriously divided down the middle. The current storm arising from the differences betweem RAO and Samoie has threated the party's stability like never before.
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vinii
#2 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 1:18:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/14/2009
Posts: 2,057
.......ati 'when we all know very well' ...Upus!
If you are an eagle don't hang around with chickens; chickens don't fly....
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McReggae
#3 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 1:21:07 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
indeed........lol!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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KenyanLyrics
#4 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 1:22:52 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2010
Posts: 906
Location: Nairobi
Synovate are a big sham. Their methodology involves use of the very archaic diary method, and on top of this, their panels are very small(usually around 1000 people).
There's always glaring errors in their reports, e.g in their digital analysis report, they claimed that there are more Facebook users than e-mail users(yet you need e-mail to use Facebook)
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McReggae
#5 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 1:30:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Yu need email address to open facebook......after that many people live on facebook yet check email say once in a week....thought yu could figure that out!!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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simonkabz
#6 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 2:09:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 8,776
Location: Cameroon
My million dollar question is, is the PM as popular as he was in 2007? Having lost the entire kalenjin loyalty n a big chunk of fanatics, I doubt he can get 40%. In the last elections, he barely garnered 45% with an apparently overwhelming support. Just my poor thoughts.
TULIA.........UFUNZWE!
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vinii
#7 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 2:24:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/14/2009
Posts: 2,057
simonkabz wrote:
My million dollar question is, is the PM as popular as he was in 2007? Having lost the entire kalenjin loyalty n a big chunk of fanatics, I doubt he can get 40%. In the last elections, he barely garnered 45% with an apparently overwhelming support. Just my poor thoughts.

The PM may not be as popular as he was in '07 but the million dollar question is - does he hv any serious challenger ? or is the next prezzo lurking someone waiting for an opportune moment?
If you are an eagle don't hang around with chickens; chickens don't fly....
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McReggae
#8 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 3:35:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
simonkabz, now how many of kibaki diehards then (2007) now support the PM?........
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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kadonye
#9 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 3:48:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/30/2009
Posts: 1,390
I believe synovate.Remember the 'too close to call' poll before 07?Again, as much as Arap Odinga has lost Kalenjin vote, he has gained immensely among the GEMA communities
What a wicked man I am!The things I want to do,I don't do.The things I don't want to do I find myself doing
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Magigi
#10 Posted : Sunday, November 14, 2010 3:55:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/31/2008
Posts: 7,081
Location: Kenya
...so how come whatever they 'prophesy' always, always comes to pass?
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