.......ati 'when we all know very well' ...Upus!

Synovate are a big sham. Their methodology involves use of the very archaic diary method, and on top of this, their panels are very small(usually around 1000 people).
There's always glaring errors in their reports, e.g in their digital analysis report, they claimed that there are more Facebook users than e-mail users(yet you need e-mail to use Facebook)

My million dollar question is, is the PM as popular as he was in 2007? Having lost the entire kalenjin loyalty n a big chunk of fanatics, I doubt he can get 40%. In the last elections, he barely garnered 45% with an apparently overwhelming support. Just my poor thoughts.

simonkabz, now how many of kibaki diehards then (2007) now support the PM?........

...so how come whatever they 'prophesy' always, always comes to pass?

Social proof principle. Synovate polls are used to plant the seed

Look, these polls are used to reel in undecided voters(who are always the swing vote). In times of doubt, people look to what other people are doing for validation(Social Proof principle). Might not work on you, but it works on a ton of other people. That is the only reason why many of these cooked polls seem like the truth in the end, but if you look closely at the poll itself and the method behind it, you can easily see through the propaganda. Don't be so naive to think that political data as powerful as this is not manipulated.

pls provide details of this report - a link perhaps. I also am weary of some of these polls which most times seek to mould opinions rather than measure them...

the devil is always in the timing of when the results are released.
Like deflecting attention, in this case from the divide in ODM.

Truth is sycophants and bigots will always dispute opinion polls when their favourite candidate read tribal lord is not doing favourably in the polls.Truth is the opinion looks objective though not accurate.I expected Bill Ruto to score above 70% in RV.
Then kenyans have a a way of behaving and acting differently.For instance a gud no. of kiuks will tell u how they admire RAOS charisma whatever it is but silently they swear never to vote for him.