guru267 wrote:Selling kenya re to buy ANY stock on the NSE is a GREAT move....

Guru, can you justify why that would be a good move??? I have a feeling your basing ur reasoning on the stock not the company. Because as a company, they are well positioned and extremely undervalued. infact,in Africa, they are in the top 5 Reinsuarers after Continental Re of nigeria. They are selling below book and have had premium growth in of about 9% over the last 5 years. Investment income has grown by the same.What's more interesting is their underwriting margins have been positive 4 times in the last 8yrs(half of the time), when aggregated, it brings an average margin of 2% on net earned premiums in the last 5 yrs. This doesn't include the investment income. Hence, i think this is a stock with an upward potential of about 20-50% in it. Its extremely undervalued. I think its the most undervalued stock on the NSE selling at 30% discount based on book of half year. SO if we attach a p.e of 8 on anticipated 2010 results, thats an upside of 30% not counting the usual dividend that is about 4%. i.e EPS of 2.32 and P.E of 8.
E.P.S of 2.32 is extremely conservative(actual may be ard 2.5). This brings the upside to about 18/-. And that would still be at or below book then. So in other-words, the downside is virtually nil while the upside can take care of itself.