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KQ in 2010-11 (Boom, Bust or Blah)
Pierce
#381 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 9:40:34 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
I expect KQ to give an EXTRA GOOD result.
Why:
1.WC
2.Forex Gain
3.New routes

Any chance of an interim dividend announced on 5th?smile

Oh nearly forgot, airlines will always have grumbling employees due to the very nature of the industry/coz it has traditionally been happening.
the deal
#382 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 9:49:37 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Pierce wrote:
I expect KQ to give an EXTRA GOOD result.
Why:
1.WC
2.Forex Gain
3.New routes

Any chance of an interim dividend announced on 5th?smile

Oh nearly forgot, airlines will always have grumbling employees due to the very nature of the industry/coz it has traditionally been happening.


With the grumbling workers i dont think there will be any interim dividend...and yes with new routes in the 2H the end year is worth waiting for...half year EPS of 3.5 possible?...also there might be gains on the fuel hedges...
Pierce
#383 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 9:53:13 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
the deal wrote:
Pierce wrote:
I expect KQ to give an EXTRA GOOD result.
Why:
1.WC
2.Forex Gain
3.New routes

Any chance of an interim dividend announced on 5th?smile

Oh nearly forgot, airlines will always have grumbling employees due to the very nature of the industry/coz it has traditionally been happening.


With the grumbling workers i dont think there will be any interim dividend...and yes with new routes in the 2H the end year is worth waiting for...half year EPS of 3.5 possible?...also there might be gains on the fuel hedges...


Opening of Juba and Muscat both within 1st 1/2
seketes
#384 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 10:10:12 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 9/17/2010
Posts: 35
Location: nairobi
Pierce wrote:
the deal wrote:
[quote=Pierce]I expect KQ to give an EXTRA GOOD result.
Why:
1.WC
2.Forex Gain
3.New routes

Any chance of an interim dividend announced on 5th?smile

Oh nearly forgot, airlines will always have grumbling employees due to the very nature of the industry/coz it has traditionally been happening.


With the grumbling workers i dont think there will be any interim dividend...and yes with new routes in the 2H the end year is worth waiting for...half year EPS of 3.5 possible?...also there might be gains on the fuel hedges...


Opening of Juba and Muscat both within 1st 1/2[/quote
with grumbling,that me does not affect the dividend,at the end of the day they have make the share holder happy.Do i make sence?
the deal
#385 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 12:37:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
400K shares traded at 42.50 foreigners doing the mopping...
Pierce
#386 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 12:51:15 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/16/2009
Posts: 1,464
the deal wrote:
400K shares traded at 42.50 foreigners doing the mopping...


told ya!
mlennyma
#387 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 1:49:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Am also doing the mopping and am not a foreighner
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
wangugi
#388 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 3:08:33 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 10/5/2010
Posts: 23
the deal wrote:
400K shares traded at 42.50 foreigners doing the mopping...


foreigners are actually selling today there is a negative 49.13% foreign position today according to mystocks.co.ke.
VituVingiSana
#389 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 3:23:32 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
2mn+ shares traded... and 43% net sales by foreigners... [Doesn't mean they are right]

http://www.iata.org/pres...ages/2010-10-26-01.aspx

Sep passenger numbers by IATA

African carriers reported a 16% growth in demand over the previous September against a 10.1% increase in capacity. The region is now 7% higher than the pre-recession levels of early 2008.

Unfortunately, the breakdown does not show it by country or carrier but since KQ is one of the larger airlines, I hope this means they have benefited...

16% growth in passengers vs 10% capacity means better PLFs...

KQ will has added capacity in 2Q & 3Q 2010-11 & 2 more E-190s are being delivered to boost regional capacity in 4Q 2010-11
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
hisah
#390 Posted : Wednesday, October 27, 2010 4:45:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The price action today plus the volume is a testing supply gimmick. I want to see 40/- tested and the reaction on that test. If it's tested and bounces back to 45 in 3 days span, then the support will be reestablish at 40. But the break of 45/- is a bit concerning...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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